This could be like the California districts in 2020 where the Republican is able to overperform a lot, but the partisanship of this district makes it hard for them to win.
New England, famously averse to parochialism and strange downballot Republicans.
I'm not betting on the third time being the charm for Fungmentum either, but people and places are not statistics. Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI Abolish Cook PVI
I just said that he could win, and it might not even mean there's a red wave, but even then we it isn't dumb to assume that a Republican is the underdog when they're up against a Biden +13% margin. Even more than other predictions though, there's quite a wide range of possibilities.