2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results (user search)
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Author Topic: 2021 Canadian general election - Election Day and Results  (Read 62577 times)
Pericles
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« on: September 20, 2021, 03:44:34 PM »

Are the mail-in votes supposed to be more Conservative or Liberal?
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Pericles
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« Reply #1 on: September 20, 2021, 07:29:30 PM »

How bad is the swing so far? Atlantic Canada does tend to be an 'elastic' region.
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Pericles
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« Reply #2 on: September 20, 2021, 09:15:27 PM »

Doesn't look like the Conservative swing in Atlantic Canada is translating to the rest of the country. RIP.

Not a surprise if that happens but it's still very early in?
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Pericles
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« Reply #3 on: September 20, 2021, 09:18:12 PM »

Anyone know what's happening in Milton, where the Tory deputy unexpectedly got crushed last election? Is that a highly educated seat, why was the Liberal trend so strong there?
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Pericles
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« Reply #4 on: September 20, 2021, 10:28:48 PM »

Do the Liberals gain or lose seats? CBC is saying 156 seats right now which is very close to my prediction so I hope it stays that way or goes one seat down.
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Pericles
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« Reply #5 on: September 20, 2021, 10:31:22 PM »

Do the Liberals gain or lose seats? CBC is saying 156 seats right now which is very close to my prediction so I hope it stays that way or goes one seat down.

Now they have the exact seat numbers the LPC and CPC had after 2019: 157 to 121.

Lmao that would also be hilarious.
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Pericles
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« Reply #6 on: September 20, 2021, 10:39:05 PM »

Erin O'Toole should be fired immediately.

Trudeau is more popular than 2019 despite the bad election call since he led Canada through the pandemic relatively well. This should have been a Liberal majority and O'Toole moving the party to the centre must be part of why it wasn't. I do empathise with the Tories that are furious at Bernier, he likely didn't make the difference but those anti-vax idiots still gave Trudeau a helping hand.
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Pericles
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« Reply #7 on: September 20, 2021, 10:41:08 PM »

Also, am I right to say that the NDP has underperformed their polling/expectations yet again? Jagmeet seems well-liked but he hasn't scored a breakthrough for the party, though maybe this is the best the post-2015 NDP can do.
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Pericles
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« Reply #8 on: September 20, 2021, 10:45:39 PM »

Also, am I right to say that the NDP has underperformed their polling/expectations yet again? Jagmeet seems well-liked but he hasn't scored a breakthrough for the party, though maybe this is the best the post-2015 NDP can do.

Jagmeet is in a very narrow lead in his riding. We may not have to worry about that after tonight.

Couldn't he have picked a less competitive riding for himself lol?
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Pericles
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« Reply #9 on: September 20, 2021, 10:54:11 PM »

Are media organisations going to call the PV or do they not care?
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Pericles
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2021, 11:00:23 PM »

Conservatives should point out that they have won the popular vote twice in a row.

It does just as good as the Democrats winning the PV in 2000 and 2016.

Yes, Democrats always point out that they won the popular vote, conservatives do not.

? because there hasn't been a presidential election where the Republican loser won the PV. If that ever happened, Republicans would be enraged for sure.
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Pericles
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« Reply #11 on: September 21, 2021, 12:31:19 AM »

Do the Tories have anyone with charisma? O'Toole seems boring so while he does ok at reassuring voters he likely isn't the strongest possible leader. Of course Scheer and Harper weren't charismatic either.
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Pericles
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« Reply #12 on: September 21, 2021, 01:14:19 AM »

Singh should of course go, after two disastrous elections in a row now, but there is nothing NDP voters love more than losing while feeling superior about themselves, so they will of course keep him.

Curious post coming from the most partisan Democrat on the site. Maybe game recognizes game.

You do realise that Joe Biden is, in fact, President of the United States?
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Pericles
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2021, 03:06:45 AM »

Did O'Toole do any work to show people this new moderate Conservative Party before the campaign? Even in Canada, maybe you need to do the groundwork for your message to get a positive response. Especially with a 36 day campaign, though on the other hand, Quito Maggi was saying the Liberals could have gotten a majority with another week and their worst polls were mid-campaign. We do need the full results to analyse it in-depth.
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Pericles
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« Reply #14 on: September 21, 2021, 06:06:43 PM »

Didn't post on the big day, but allow me to chime in with this one comment:

What a colossal waste of time.

And money-what's the exact amount?
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Pericles
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« Reply #15 on: September 21, 2021, 06:12:43 PM »

Didn't post on the big day, but allow me to chime in with this one comment:

What a colossal waste of time.

And money-what's the exact amount?

$610 million. I know that by heart and will know it until my heart stops beating because CPC ads really drove that home, to no avail it seems

Jeesh, that's a small tragedy for the country.
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Pericles
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« Reply #16 on: September 22, 2021, 07:02:50 AM »

Odd comments from Grenier saying that Singh is comparable to Jack Layton since the latter apparently ‘tread water’ for his first two elections. Layton doubled the NDP’s vote and seat count in three years, taking it from single digits and near minor party status to being a serious player again. Singh has presided over a net loss of votes and seats over the course of four years. Whilst I suppose there’s an argument for keeping him on due to having the best approval ratings of any major party leader, he’s no Jack Layton, sir.

To be fair, once you ignore Quebec it's treading water. Not that this is a good outcome.
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Pericles
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« Reply #17 on: September 22, 2021, 07:41:32 AM »

In Quebec it seems BQ out-LPC the LPC.  If the current margins hold it seems BQ would have beaten LPC in seat count despite a lower vote share than LPC.

FPP has been a giant sh*tshow this election-PV losers winning everywhere and crazy vote splits spoiling the vote everywhere. It really makes one grateful not to be living under that system.
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