How many CDs has Biden won? (user search)
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  How many CDs has Biden won? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How many CDs has Biden won?  (Read 17800 times)
Pericles
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« on: November 21, 2020, 05:08:29 AM »

IN-05: Trump +2.2



That's still 10 points less than in 2016.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2020, 04:46:02 PM »

Has anyone figured out which districts had the biggest swings to Biden and Trump respectively?

TX is going to be interesting in redistricting because there are so many GOPers to protect, new seats to add. They may have honestly been better off had they lost a couple this year, they can pack Austin but its really hard to see them keeping the whole delegation, adding 2 of the new 3 seats and not losing 5-7 seats if there is a Dem wave in 2026 etc.

In addition they have to decide if TX-15, 28, 34 are worth going for. All 3 are meant as D vote sinks but hard to pack them even more. If they try to make them more R, then that is fewer voters to shore up 10, 21, 25, 31. It's one of the tougher gerrymander calls out there.

Problem for them is the State House was just as vulnerable as their House seats, I did a uniform swing and Dems could win the state House while only gaining the 23rd and the 24th (though McCaul and Roy have very tight races).
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Pericles
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« Reply #2 on: December 14, 2020, 07:45:50 PM »

Huh, I thought Trump might have won CA-48 given he barely lost it in 2016 and the House results. The CA House Dem performances were embarrassing this year.
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