Bold Predictions for November (user search)
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  Bold Predictions for November (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bold Predictions for November  (Read 11890 times)
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« on: October 21, 2020, 06:44:19 PM »

Senate

Republicans only flip is Alabama. Tommy T wins by double digits, but Jones over-performs the polls by about 4-5%. Republicans hold on to Iowa, Georgia special, Texas, and Kansas (Kobach loses the primary).

Democrats flip Colorado, Arizona, Maine, Montana, North Carolina, and the Georgia regular election. Gary Peters wins by a larger margin that Biden.

House

Democrats gain <10 seats.

Presidential

Nebraska CD-2 votes to the left of Wisconsin.

Biden over-performs in Georgia and wins the state.

Trump improves his margins in Nevada and Oregon, but loses them both.

Biden under-performs in Arizona but still wins the state.

Trump wins just under 200 EV.

Biden wins 52.1% PV to Trump's 46.3%.


Mixed bag of predictions here. Good calls were NC Senate, NE-02 presidential, and Trump under 200 EV. Bad calls were Montana/Iowa Senate and NPV.

The results aren't in yet.
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