It's finally the day! Rate the Iowa caucuses (Iowa prediction megathread)

[Pericles]

Going with pure tossup, any of the top 4 could win it.

[Pericles]

Anything can happen in Iowa, so Pete can certainly win (though my guess is he's the least likely of the top 4 to do so at this point). The main weird thing is the exact support for candidates-in particular I'd think Klobuchar would be much lower if Pete is winning.

[Pericles]

Iowa has me stumped, I am very unsure about what is going on. One prediction I'll make is that if Bernie doesn't come first many posters will act like it's a huge surprise-which it isn't-and if Bernie does better than expected people will also treat it as a big upset.

So my guess is that Sanders comes first, Warren comes a close second, Buttigieg edges out Biden for third place, Biden comes fourth and Klobmentum isn't a thing (could be very wrong here) with her getting 5th. Something like 24% Bernie, 23% Warren, 19% Buttigieg, 18% Biden, 10% Klobuchar, 6% others.