GA-SEN 2020 Class III Megathread: She Who Loeffs Last

[Pericles]

Is anyone getting McSally 2.0 vibes if Karen Handel gets appointed?

Yes, which is why Kemp won't appoint her. He's evil, not stupid.

Ducey probably did it so he gets the Senate seat in 2022, idk whether Brian Kemp wants to be a Senator or if he'd prefer a second term as Governor.

[Pericles]

Matt Gaetz has made several cultish statements about the Loeffler pick, but this one is probably the most extreme. He's essentially demanding that people always obey Trump rather than use their own judgement lol.
https://twitter.com/mattgaetz/status/1200458921804218369

[Pericles]

Trump wont outperform Senate Republicans in the Sunbelt

I don’t think Martha McSally got the memo.

(Also, what Skill and Chance said.)

If a presidential election had been held at the same time s the 2018 midterms Trump could easily have lost Arizona by a bigger margin than McSally.

[Pericles]

Don't know why you guys want Collins so bad. He is a significantly stronger candidate than Loeffler by every metric.

This may be right, crazy is often not as electorally harmful as being wooden and uncharismatic.

[Pericles]

Increasingly this is looking like a lockout in the jungle primary.
Collins 30
Loeff 20
Warnock 19
Lieberman 18

Will Matt Lieberman drop out as the deadline approaches, or will he fill his father's small shoes and undermine the Dems again?

Where does the other 13% of the electorate go? I don't think Loeffler makes the runoff, even 20% may be overrating her as she's a terrible politician

[Pericles]

I still am confused why people think Loeffler is stronger than Collins, after the insider trading scandal.

At the end of the day neither one of the is going to come out of this in a great position. They're spending so much money and go so far right that by the end of it, they're weakening themselves for the general. Warnock is cleanly consolidating the democratic base and can save up for the general

If there is one thing that has never changed, it is Republicans propensity through sheer stupidity to just piss away Senate seats.

Given their built-in advantage in the Senate, they can afford to piss away a Senate seat or two every few years.

They're already pissing away support on a big-picture level by governing in a way that makes them unpopular. They could moderate and so get a neutral national environment and like R+5% in the tipping point Senate seat, but instead they insist on pushing the national environment towards the Democrats so the tipping-point seat is very competitive.