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« on: November 05, 2018, 10:08:38 PM » |
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Karen Handel and Rob Woodall lose(while Stacey Abrams wins 50% on the first round. My biggest worry is the Woodall one but I'm going with it).
Andy Barr wins.
Paul Davis narrowly loses.
Republicans gain 2 seats in Minnesota(while democrats gain 2 Republican seats so the delegation stays 5-3).
Leslie Cockburn wins, in fact VA-07, VA-05 and VA-10 flip, BUT Taylor survives perhaps even by mid to high single digits.
Cruz wins by around 8 points, slightly outperforming the polls.
Heidi Heitkamp comes a lot closer than the polls say but still loses.
Sadly this is bold for Atlas and the punditry but Manchin wins by high single digits or low double digits(a not bold part; people who were saying Manchin was going to lose then proceed to act like the outcome was inevitable all along and no big deal).
This one I'm not 100% on, but leaning towards; Bredesen comes closer to victory than O'Rourke(both still lose).
Bill Nelson wins by 5 points or more.
Menendez wins by double digits.
Sinema does win by more than Rosen(though both still win and both by at least 2 points).
Idk if this is bold but Republicans are left with only one seat in New Jersey.
Democrats sweep all the tossup races in California.
Overall, Democrats gain 39 seats in the House with a 9-10 point PV win, but there is no net change in the Senate.
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