Joe Biden 2020 campaign megathread v3 (pg 45 - mass-dropout aftermath)

[OneJ]

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/biden-says-would-consider-2020-rival-warren-as-running-mate%3f_amp=true

Joe Biden said that he would consider Democratic presidential primary rival Elizabeth Warren as his running mate should he win the Democratic presidential nomination.

"I'd add Senator Warren to the list. I'd add all — but she's going to be very angry at my having said that," Biden said in an Axios on HBO interview that aired Sunday. "The question is, would she add me made to her list. You know?"

"The issue for me will be, if I'm fortunate enough to be the nominee, is who am I most comfortable with that I'm confident that if I turn over responsibility, I'm not going to be surprised," Biden said.

Warren, a Massachusetts senator and bankruptcy law expert, has a long-held disagreement with Biden over a 2005 law that made it more difficult to file for bankruptcy. Warren advocated against the bill before she was an elected official while Biden championed the legislation.

The two candidates also disagree on healthcare.

Is Liz Warren great VP pick for Biden?

It's an interesting pick to say the least that's for sure.

[OneJ]

Honestly, Bloomberg running is probably a blessing in disguise. Biden would likely be ahead by more had he not jumped in near the last minute.

[OneJ]

The thing about Bloomberg is that it’s pretty much impossible for him to receive a majority of pledged delegates. He’ll probably end up taking this race to a contested convention which will turn out to be ugly.

[OneJ]

Regardless, Biden needs a win pretty soon to have a chance to beef up his fundraising before ST. If he could win Nevada at all that'd be good for him and if he could win South Carolina by a margin that isn't underwhelming it'd be even better. From the looks of things though, I'm pretty confident he'd lose NV to Sanders and it'll be tough to stop his momentum going into ST and beyond.

[OneJ]

Biden has his eyes set on Florida:

Forget about New Hampshire. Joe Biden wants to talk about Florida.

Following a fifth-place finish in Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary, the former vice president’s campaign moved quickly Wednesday to announce the launch of several grassroots coalitions in Florida — a state where he leads in the polls thanks in large part to his standing with Hispanic and black voters.

“We’ve already had a [get-out-the-vote] phone bank. We’re chasing mail ballots. We have a Jewish surrogate call set up for next week,” she said. “This will be active and led by community members, and build upon our work here in the state.”

Biden’s coalition rollout comes as more than 1 million ballots are landing in mailboxes across the state, creating an extended primary election that tends to benefit campaigns with a large, organized presence and the ability to chase votes weeks before Election Day.

[OneJ]

I'd love it if he could, McCain-style, but I don't see that capability in his campaign operation.  They aren't built for this.

Honestly, that seems to be most similar to what Sanders is going through at the moment. McCain started the campaign off in 2nd place in the around the 20s similar to what happened with Sanders and both of them fell to 3rd (and in McCain's case 4th) for an extended period of time in the teens just to return back in the 20s in January. One difference being that McCain surged while Sanders hasn't done so (yet) in the aggregates.

[OneJ]

Damning article on Biden today in Slate. I can't disagree with their analysis though. The establishment hitched its cart to the wrong horse this time around.

This is what pisses me off about him. He kept a lot of good people from surging or running altogether and now he’s not even going to close the deal. It’s infuriating.

I still blame Democratic Primary voters more. Their prioritization of familiarity and name recognition over anything else compelled Biden to run when he polled at the top of preliminary polls. I can't blame him or Sanders for running if they see results like that.

Otherwise I agree with you though, I was always dreading a Biden versus Sanders primary. We had some new, fresh-faced talent running this time that never really got a fair chance.

The establishment should take some blame at the very least. Sure, the party seemed "leader-less" at one point in time but there were many other options the Democrats could've pushed to run. Instead, they insisted Biden would be the best choice. There were plenty of good reasons to skip over Biden. They were probably focusing too much on the general election while thinking Biden had this primary in the bag (I mean Biden certainly seemed to think so).

Now, Biden is fighting for his life to get a [decent] win in South Carolina, a state that was far more favorable to him than now, while having yet to drop a single ad for Super Tuesday after two horrible performances in IA and NH (he was polling well in both of those states, but he still uses demographics as an excuse) and a distant 2nd place in NV, a state he was widely expected win at one point. Even a win in SC still might not help him much for ST.