Prediction: MS Gov. Primary Tues.

[OneJ]

Now I know that Rankin County has a tradition in voting for Republican candidates who are less conservative in the primaries, but it really says a lot that Reeves couldn't even win this county as it is his home county. For the GOP Runoff, I'll predict 59% Reeves and 41% Waller.

[OneJ]

Now I know that Rankin County has a tradition in voting for Republican candidates who are less conservative in the primaries, but it really says a lot that Reeves couldn't even win this county as it is his home county. For the GOP Runoff, I'll predict 59% Reeves and 41% Waller.

I'm sticking with a 59-41 Reeves win.

[OneJ]

The AG race is close though

> Lynn Fitch 157,053 52%
 Andy Taggart 146,405 48%

This is actually surprising.  Looking at the county results seems to suggest there were a good number of Reeves/Taggart voters and Waller/Fitch voters in Metro Jackson and the Northeast, respectively.  I wonder what’s driving this dynamic.

I was definitely surprised by this too.

[OneJ]

Waller did win all the "educated" county in the State, it's just that they don't have that many votes.

The MS Gulf Coast is relatively educated and it delivered

The AG race is close though

> Lynn Fitch 157,053 52%
 Andy Taggart 146,405 48%

This is actually surprising.  Looking at the county results seems to suggest there were a good number of Reeves/Taggart voters and Waller/Fitch voters in Metro Jackson and the Northeast, respectively.  I wonder what’s driving this dynamic.

I was definitely surprised by this too.

I'll just chalk it up to the AG's race being less defined by policy and more personality-driven.  Lynn Fitch would be more well known in the northern regions of the state, whereas Andy Taggert has been on TV in Metro Jackson for a long time.

This is a good point, especially about Taggart.

One thing that really stood out to me between the two runoffs was the difference between Reeves and Fitch in Marshall County, which is Fitch's home county as she's from Holly Springs. Reeves garnered 81% while Fitch just managed to get 54%. It's just quite strange to me.