If you took these counties out and left the remaining deep-red rural counties in, Texas would very narrowly vote blue by a 10,000 vote margin.
Yeah, even though the blue area includes the RGV, that's more than canceled out by suburban swings. Flipping Zapata but losing Tarrant and Williamson is a terrible trade for the GOP. Even if Trump becomes the first ever Republican to win Starr, there's a real chance Biden wins Collin and maybe even Denton.
I think I read on here that the Dem gains in Bexar alone cancelled out the GOP gains in the RGV