TX-SEN 2024 megathread: The Hunt for the Zodiac Killer

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Oh god, oh f**k...
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What's wrong?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I'm not too beat up about Allred being out either. I never thought Democrats had much of a chance here yet barring a Cruz-O'Rourke rematch if Beto hadn't run for President and Governor.

I still think Democrats' best strategy is to go all-in on defense and pray that they somehow don't lose more than one seat, especially among the Trump state Senators.

Well I have to remind you that this is the only realistic opportunity for a pickup for the Democrats, so giving up on this race would be a bad idea and there are plenty of other reasons why it'd be bad to pass this up.

The main reason it’s dumb is that there’s a solid case to be made that TX-Sen is more likely to go Democrat than either MT-Sen or OH-Sen, and like you said, it’s the only real pickup opportunity for the DSCC.

Plus a Democrat win in the Senate race, even if Trump narrowly took the state at the presidential level, squarely puts the state on the board for 2028 and going forward.

Ted Cruz is not that unpopular like these Democrats here on Atlas are claiming.

So with 16 months left until the election; Dems should not bother trying to flip a seat in a southern state that's trending their way, where they badly need to lay down some party infrastructure and which represents its only reasonable Senate pickup because the Senator doesn't seem all that unpopular?

Where have I heard that before in the last few years?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Find it weird some of the comments about the democrats not taking this seat seriously when on paper at least Gutierrez is as strong of a candidate as any

I don't think folks know how to take to Gutierrez yet. Everyone seemed to be putting their eggs into the Colin Allred basket while Gutierrez seemed to drop from the sky a week ago.

Although I agree that on paper, he seems to be just as good a candidate anyone else such as Allred, arguably better.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

I take it this is gonna be one of those threads where every other post has to include something to the effect of "This seat won't flip, but..."?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

The discussion going on in this thread really highlights the odd predicament right now for a Democratic candidate in Texas.

On one hand, a prominent candidate like Allred would do wonders to boost confidence for the state party and move forward the future potential of Texas as a purple or even blue state. Much like Beto in 2018.

On the other hand, folks are confused or possibly adverse to the idea that a prominent Dem would step up and sacrifice themselves for a seat they think has no chance of flipping.

I guess what I'm getting at is that you can't just will a state like Texas or Georgia into flipping. You need folks like Allred and Warnock to step up and put the effort in.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

The discussion going on in this thread really highlights the odd predicament right now for a Democratic candidate in Texas.

On one hand, a prominent candidate like Allred would do wonders to boost confidence for the state party and move forward the future potential of Texas as a purple or even blue state. Much like Beto in 2018.

On the other hand, folks are confused or possibly adverse to the idea that a prominent Dem would step up and sacrifice themselves for a seat they think has no chance of flipping.

I guess what I'm getting at is that you can't just will a state like Texas or Georgia into flipping. You need folks like Allred and Warnock to step up and take a crack at it.

People said the same thing about Arizona leading up to 2018 and same thing about Georgia leading up to 2020. Now it’s Texas’s turn.

It's almost uncanny how much this thread reads like the 2020 Georgia Senate threads so far.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Blexas believers are going to be very disappointed on November 5, 2024.

You say that as if nearly every comment in this thread doesn't mention of how this seat won't flip Dem in 2024.