Morning Consult: AZ, CO, FL, GA, MI, MN, NC, OH, PA, TX, WI: Biden +10, +10, +2, +3, +10, +7, +2...

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Although I'm loving that Georgia number, I'm most surprised that the only state not to show any movement was Wisconsin.

If this is a harbinger of polls to come, I fail to see how Trump makes up ground at this point. The last week was designed for him and his campaign

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Although I'm loving that Georgia number, I'm most surprised that the only state not to show any movement was Wisconsin.

If this is a harbinger of polls to come, I fail to see how Trump makes up ground at this point.

VAR must've missed it, but it did show movement... it was 6% a few weeks back as well as 6% right before the convention. So movement towards Biden, interestingly enough

Looks like you're right. Since their pre-convention poll, Biden gained 3 points while Trump didn't move.

I'd like to see another poll of Wisconsin, preferably completely post-RNC. But if Trump couldn't gain anything in the midst of Kenosha, I don't think visiting the city or sympathizing with Mr Rittenhouse is gonna resurrect his campaign.

And that's not even getting into the inevitable COVID spike in the Midwest.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Also: this is the millionth poll we've gotten that shows TX a dead heat, btw.

Yet folks will still assume that it's Lean R, Beto 2018 is the best Biden can hope for and Trump will carry it no questions asked.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Lovely numbers for Uncle Joe! But Arizona and Pennsylvania are definitely little of an outlier, though in the latter case a four or five point win is reasonable. Arizona will be within two or three points at the presidential level.

I don’t know. This is the first time Biden’s lead there has been consistent with Mark Kelly’s. Possible he ends up winning by mid-high single digits.

I’m getting “Virginia in 2008” vibes when it comes to Arizona. When it finally flipped, it FLIPPED. And I can see something similar happen in Arizona.

It feels like the campaign dynamics are like 1980 while the election dynamics will be like 2008

Virginia 2008 = Arizona 2020
North Carolina 2008 = Texas or Georgia 2020
Wisconsin 2008 = Minnesota 2020?