2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: California (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: California (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: California  (Read 90751 times)
Interlocutor is just not there yet
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Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« on: September 21, 2021, 10:30:22 PM »

You may not like it, but this is what peak performance looks like.

Draws out LaMalfa, McClintock, Obernolte, Garcia, Kim, Steel, and Issa, and draws together Nunes, Valadao, and McCarthy(or he's drawn out into 21)

Closest seat: CA-47, 43.66% D    54.37% R

Beautiful.
This map could single-handedly save the House for Dems in 2022.
Maddening that it won't get enacted out of a misguided obsession with unilateral disarming.

Democratic seat gains in the House & State legislature during the 2000s under the party-drawn maps:  5 (2 Congressional, 4 State Assembly, 1 State Senate loss)

Democratic seat gains in the House & State legislature during the 2010s under the independent commission-drawn maps:  22 (8 Congressional, 8 State Assembly, 6 State Senate)
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2021, 03:21:07 AM »

Random factoids:

Races with <10% margins

2002 - 2010 (Party-drawn districts)
Congress: 15 (Across 9 different districts, GOP 10 - 5)
Assembly: 31 (Across 19 different districts, GOP 16 - 15)
Senate: 8 (Across 7 different districts, GOP 6 - 2)
TOTAL: 54 (GOP 32 - 22)

2012 - 2020 (Commission-drawn districts)
Congress: 42 (Across 21 different districts, Dem 26 - 16)
Assembly: 39 (Across 22 different districts, GOP 21 - 18)
Senate: 16 (Across 13 different districts, Dem 9 - 7)
TOTAL: 97 (Dem 53 - 44)
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2021, 07:50:11 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2021, 03:23:33 PM by "?" »

I get they're 'draft maps' and all, but some of those IE districts look absolutely weird from a "community of interest" standpoint.

I'd never think to lump Riverside in with San Jacinto/Hemet. Or a Corona/Murrieta district that also gobbles up South OC (Let alone it being even more gerrymandered than the current 42nd district).

Likewise, there's a State Senate proposal that lumps Riverside in with Irvine & Mission Viejo. What the hell?
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