I'm going to try to keep to whole numbers, only splitting digits in half.
VA Gov
52% Northam
46.5% Gillespie
1.5% Hyra
VA Lt Gov
51% Fairfax
49% Vogel
VA Attorney General
53% Herring
47% Adams
VA HoD
D Gain of 8 - 10 with HD 100 as a potential 11th
NJ Gov
58.5% Murphy
39% Guadango
2.5% Others
VA HoD - way off, but probably better then most. I don't think anyone expected 15+. For someone who was following DDHQ constantly on this, I arguably only really though the Dem wave would make gains in NOVA and a few other places. Didn't expect the VA Beach/Richmond flips.
Don't beat yourself up too much over this one. The most optimistic pundits didn't go any higher and most had a maximum gain of 5 or 6. So I'd say that's about as good as any prediction for this came.
I seem to be alone on this. I was expecting way more gains in the HoD for the Democrats than anybody else and was much more bullish on their chances of flipping it or coming close. I don't believe I made the prediction public, but it was definitely my expectation that the conventional wisdom was low-balling Democrats' chances.
