What does your 2024 map look like right now? (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  What does your 2024 map look like right now? (search mode)
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Author Topic: What does your 2024 map look like right now?  (Read 6117 times)
AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« on: November 07, 2020, 01:44:20 PM »
« edited: November 07, 2020, 01:50:35 PM by AGA »
President Biden reelection:



Fundamentally, President Biden should be favored to win reelection. It is very rare for the incumbent party to lose three times in a row, and the economy should be fine. This is the only reason why IA, OH, and FL are only leaning Republican. If the Democratic nominee is someone else, this race would be more competitive (with Florida solidly Republican, of course).
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AGA
Atlas Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,288
United States


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -4.70

P P
« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2020, 01:32:04 AM »
« Edited: December 12, 2020, 01:43:28 AM by AGA »
This isn't for any specific nominees, just what I would say the aggregate probability is if you take everything in consideration. I have NE-02 only as Lean D because who knows how they will redistrict it. (current boundaries Likely D).
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