MissCatholic
Sr. Member
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« on: September 27, 2005, 10:04:56 AM » |
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« edited: September 27, 2005, 10:06:53 AM by MissCatholic »
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Hillary Clinton is the current favorite to be the democratic nominee. If the Republicans nominated McCain and his vp was Guiliani how many electoral votes would Hillary get.
Hillary alone can carry
So i think she can get on her own 146 evs against McCain/Guiliani. I dont know whats going on in Hawaii at the moment so i have left it as a tossup. Wesley Clark, Ed Rendell, Bill Richardsson would all make good vps. But Hillary brings alot of money on the table and she needs someone else to soldify the liberal base. She is more popular in Ohio than in Michigan.
So if i was Hillary i would pick Feingold. Feingold comes from Wisconsin so its a certainty to vote for Clinton/Feingold by at least 2-3pts. More of the 1988 states would flock Hillarys way. By picking a maverick liberal with alot of credibility.
So the nomination of Feingold as her vp would make the map look like
Now this brings the ev total up to 210. Hillary and Bill would have to hammer eastern and western pa. Feingold would be sent to Iowa and Michigan. Hillary would have to do increbile well in the debates and McCain would probably make Hillary more electable as the debates would be nice and cosy. So hillary could win pa and mi. Feingold could help win Hillary Iowa. Ohio would be the real key to victory but i wouldnt say its impossible. The turnout from the right must be lower than 2004 as McCain and Guiliani are pro-choice. but this is the maximum that hillary can achieve. (reds my prediction, pinks vote for her at best)
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