KY-Gov (WPA Intelligence/Club for Growth PAC):Beshear +6

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

If he really wins by this much, Biden is probably in better shape than he's polling.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

If he really wins by this much, Biden is probably in better shape than he's polling.

It means very little, just like how Sununu +16 doesn't mean that New Hampshire is likely to flip.

NH President D+8
 KY President R+26

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

That is true, but this is nowhere close to a swing state. Kentucky is deep Trump country so well done to any Democrat winning or even coming close there.

Phil Scott just won Vermont by a landslide. Hogan and Baker won pretty easily in 2018.

Laura Kelly won by 2 points despite the abortion amendment resoundingly passing. John Bel Edwards won by 3 points in 2019 despite having overwhelmingly positive approval ratings.
If Beshear wins by 6 or more, it’s a sign something is up

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Beshear is on track for an amazing performance, he must be good at this.

Incumbent governors almost always outperform substantially.

That is true, but this is nowhere close to a swing state. Kentucky is deep Trump country so well done to any Democrat winning or even coming close there.

Phil Scott just won Vermont by a landslide. Hogan and Baker won pretty easily in 2018.

Laura Kelly won by 2 points despite the abortion amendment resoundingly passing. John Bel Edwards won by 3 points in 2019 despite having overwhelmingly positive approval ratings.
If Beshear wins by 6 or more, it’s a sign something is up

That "something" would be that Daniel Cameron is a horrible candidate. Nothing more, nothing less. Not every candidate is going to be that bad in 2024.

I know responding to you is futile, however this is sad even from you lol. Talk about revisionist history. Cameron has been hyped as a strong candidate lol