MS-Siena: Reeves +11

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

IndyRep, I like you, but I think you need to take the L on this one lol

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

IndyRep, I like you, but I think you need to take the L on this one lol

If it's accurate that Mississippians are about as concerned about transgender athletes as they are about Medicaid expansion(!) I don't know how Presley can overcome that.

Talk about being a text book example of democrats idea of a republican lol

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Interesting in here is 40% of Dems "very excited" to vote, only 29% of GOP are. Continues to show that there is actually an enthusiasm gap.... in the Dems favor. What's sinking Presley especially here is Independents, which apparently still lean very rightwing in MS. Reeves wins them by 13.

Pretty crazy however that when the two are pitted in most of the questions on "how would do a better job", they're basically even on everything except for the ridiculous question on transgender athletes. Shows people actually don't like Reeves, think Presley would do a good job, but partisanship is still winning at the end of the day.

This is also not a good sign for Beshear.

Hard disagree; KY is a total different thing. They have been able to elect a Democrat in recent years, while MS hasn't. Meanwhile, Beshear is a popular entranched incumbent. Presley obv doesn't have that benefit, Dems have a lower ceiling in MS. Reeves is also unpopular, but not as unpopular as Bevin.

Agree on the last point but the first two really don't matter and the Lower ceiling is just false. Espy faired better than McGrath for example

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Interesting in here is 40% of Dems "very excited" to vote, only 29% of GOP are. Continues to show that there is actually an enthusiasm gap.... in the Dems favor. What's sinking Presley especially here is Independents, which apparently still lean very rightwing in MS. Reeves wins them by 13.

Pretty crazy however that when the two are pitted in most of the questions on "how would do a better job", they're basically even on everything except for the ridiculous question on transgender athletes. Shows people actually don't like Reeves, think Presley would do a good job, but partisanship is still winning at the end of the day.

This is also not a good sign for Beshear.

Reeves approval is negative 3. That's not enough to sink an incumbent in a state that massively favors their party