Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread (user search)
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  Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Rate the 2023 Louisiana gubernatorial election
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Tossup/tilt R
 
#5
Tossup/tilt D
 
#6
Lean D
 
#7
Likely D
 
#8
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 170

Author Topic: Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread  (Read 24856 times)
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« on: June 29, 2023, 05:47:44 AM »

I mean, I don’t think we should be wasting our money in MS either. All signs are pointing towards ds collapsing even further in the Deep South.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2023, 12:53:13 PM »

I now accept my accolades! /s
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2023, 01:09:19 PM »

I myself remain convinced Rs have a good shot of flipping back GA, but yeah it voting to the right of FL just ain’t going to happen
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2023, 02:09:40 PM »

I myself remain convinced Rs have a good shot of flipping back GA, but yeah it voting to the right of FL just ain’t going to happen
If you believe double digit Biden black seats aren't safe, then it should vote to the right of FL. The polls already show GA and FL close to each other, and FL will have a 6 week abortion ban that will take effect as soon as the Supreme Court rules, and a referendum of voters voting on the 6 week ban.

After all the COVID migration, are we even confident Florida would 60% oppose a 6 week abortion ban?
They would likely oppose that but it's certainly not enough for Trump to even be held to his 2020 margin, let alone actually lose the state
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,274
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2023, 04:19:14 PM »
« Edited: October 15, 2023, 06:10:58 PM by RussFeingoldWasRobbed »

And I'm sorry but "MUH LOW BLACK TURNOUT" is getting really old. You are assuming that the black voters that don't vote as often are as democratic as the ones that did, and while that may have been true in the past, it may not be anymore. In fact, there was a poster here(I can't recall the name) who said one of the reasons the polling may have underestimated D's in 2022 is because it OVERESTIMATED voter turnout. Many low propensity R voters may have said they were going to vote but were not passionate enough to actually do so when election day came.
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