If I were to be told that Democrats would end up with just 50 seats after the midterms and could choose which seats they were to win, I’d happily trade Hassan and Masto for Barnes and Fetterman.
Barnes is not winning on a night when Hassan is losing, and more likely than not Republicans will end up with 54 seats in the Senate if they manage to win in NH.
This is an incredibly overhyped race (and would have been even with Sununu, who chose not to run for a reason) that will only flip on an extremely bad night for Democrats (call it a 'wave' if you want).
I agree on the former but if Morse is the nominee, I wouldn't be surprised if AZ GA stay D and NH flips. As you can probably tell,, I expect this to still be a strong republican year, which I agree with you would be necessary for something like NH to flip. But candidate quality does matter despite what certain blue/green avatars on the site have said(not you lol)