Rate Arizona in 2020

[UWS]

After all, Trump won that state by only 4 percentage points in 2016. I guess that if the FBI didn’t reopen its investigation on Hillary Clinton’s emails just before the election, maybe she could have won Arizona but it would have been close, of course.

[UWS]

Pure toss-up. Democrats have a decent shot of winning with at least modestly strong candidate. Harris and Bullock would be the best fits here.

This.

And Biden too.

[UWS]

Maybe Trump pardoning Joe Arpaio might mobilize Arizona Hispanics to vote Democrat.

I think also it will depend on the Maricopa County (home to Phoenix) because Trump won it by only 3 percentage points and that if Clinton succeeded to flip it in 2016 (I mean if we shift the 45 546 people margin that voted for Trump in the Maricopa County to Clinton) she might have won Arizona. In fact, that would have given Trump 1,206,855 votes in total in Arizona and given Clinton 1,206,713 votes, thus making Arizona a very very close race.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Arizona,_2016

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Arizona,_2016#Results_by_county