How likely is your Congressional District to change parties in 2006?

[TheresNoMoney]

As of now, I'd say a 1 in 3 shot (33%). I'm in NH-02, which is Charlie Bass's district.

[TheresNoMoney]

Other than being an incumbent, he has a better chance of winning because the Democrats may not be able to come up with a decent candidate.

Darcy Burner is the likely candidate and I would say that we have a good shot to beat Reichart. He is certainly one of the top 10 or 15 Republicans most likely to lose.

[TheresNoMoney]

IA-01 should be at the top of the list.

[TheresNoMoney]

But what is more interesting is when we look at CT-5.  Chris Murphy is 100x the challenger that her last opponent was.

He seems like a very promising candidate and is also very young (mid-30's?) I'll be rooting for him.

Those three CT districts + both NH districts are the only Republican-held seats in New England.  I plan on doing what I can to get rid of Charlie Bass in NH-02 (which Kerry won by 4% or 5%).

[TheresNoMoney]

Progress, do you live in CT?

[TheresNoMoney]

See the previous page of this thread for the answer.

Thanks, I apologize.

[TheresNoMoney]

Shays however is actually a decent guy and surely not a partisan.  And if the extremist wing of the Republican party wasn't in control I'd have no problem giving Shays my vote (though I'm not in his district).  But a vote for Shays is a vote for Delay, Blunt, Bush, Frist and the rest of the most extreme politicians that have ever run this country... At least in my lifetime. 

I couldn't have put it better myself!! People on this forum wonder why I am so partisan, and I think you summed up the reason quite well.

As long as Democrats are in the minority, every single Republican needs to be defeated (even the better ones like Chris Shays).