Odd that Magaziner has not released any internals to counter the narrative that Fung is leading by a healthy margin.
It would be odd for Fung to be leading by so much, especially when he barely won it in 2014 and lost it in 2018. Maybe this district has truly shifted right, which wouldn't be that surprising given its demographics, but I think this will be within a few points either way.
who is saying that narrative? i don't think anyone is.
250 people sample with a MOE of 6% is... yikes
We've gotten two Fung +6 independent polls and one Fung +15 internal. On each poll, the narrative was that Fung seems to be leading but it's unlikely to last/poll is weird. Certainly, all these results are odd but they are agreeing with each other.
Magaziner hasn't released anything to dispel that notion. Cook has it as a tossup. What are your thoughts?
i have no idea
Understatement of the decade
