IA-NYT/Siena: Sanders 25, Buttigieg 18, Biden 17, Warren 15, Klob 8

[bilaps]

Inject in my veins

[bilaps]

That's better than I would've imagined. +7 in Iowa, +12 in New Hampshire, I think we can say he is finally in a position to win.

To win what?  A nomination that will be as meaningless as 1972 or 1964?  This country won't stand for his Socialist policies, and he shows no indication that he will be flexible or will accommodate other views. 

Cry me a river

[bilaps]

Pete takes the lead if non-viable candidates are dropping out in later rounds of the caucus:

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/uploads/2020/01/IADem0120_4891051654159.pdf

Also, Sanders could have a massive problem if younger people under 44 are not turning out.

He’s only at 9% with those over 65 ...

No, you're reading this wrong. He doesn't take the lead in overall poll, it's just a poll of other candidates' preferred choice among top 4. And it's essentialy a 3 way tie even among them.

Also, some other notes from this poll..

48% of Warren's supporters say their mind isn't made up yet and 44% say their second choice is Bernie

This poll has 29% of first time caucus goers in its sample. To remind you DMR poll had a 27% and Monmouth had it at 17%. In 2016 number was 44%. Big turnout benefits Bernie a lot.

Bernie leads every age group even 45-64 except 65+

[bilaps]

Buttigieg should be the strongest in Eastern part of state, especially in smaller towns, he's been campaigning there like crazy and it shows in this poll too. Klobuchar should be strongest in northern parts closer to Minnesota, Biden probably in Des Moines area, he also got endorsment from Axne now. Sanders is of course strongest in college areas but he should have support across the board in central and eastern IA and he's going for the western part too, he will be there tomorrow.