Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22 (user search)
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  Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Primary Results Megathread: AR, GA, KY & TX (Runoff) - May 22  (Read 110897 times)
bilaps
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« on: March 06, 2018, 08:54:36 PM »

Beto underperforming aside this is great primary #'s for dems

why?
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bilaps
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« Reply #1 on: March 06, 2018, 09:01:33 PM »


More dem votes in the senate race the rep votes right now...

Correction, bad math, dems only 50K behind Rs in senate votes. Not that bad for a state like texas, and without el paso done yet.

but big chunk of these votes are early vote, right?
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bilaps
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« Reply #2 on: March 06, 2018, 09:15:31 PM »

lol @ the concern trolls running around in this thread:



this guy is doing the same thing mcdonald did for the general election. you'll see when november comes how important is special election in oklahoma house
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bilaps
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« Reply #3 on: March 06, 2018, 09:25:52 PM »

laugh as hard as you want but special election for some house seat in oklahoma isn't indicative for midterms

i'm looking at raw numbers from tonight and i can't see a lot of optmism in TX for dems. maybe i'm wrong, but this guy is clearly a cheerleader for democrats just like mcdonald. he looks at numbers with blue eyes.

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bilaps
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« Reply #4 on: March 06, 2018, 09:33:26 PM »

laugh as hard as you want but special election for some house seat in oklahoma isn't indicative for midterms

i'm looking at raw numbers from tonight and i can't see a lot of optmism in TX for dems. maybe i'm wrong, but this guy is clearly a cheerleader for democrats just like mcdonald. he looks at numbers with blue eyes.



You can't see much optimism in TX Democrats nearly matching Republicans in primary turnout? I think you're trying too hard to be pessimistic.

that's ok but still doesn't flip the senate seat

early numbers for 7th are better for republicans so far, we'll see how it changes

looking now at 23rd, this are decent numbers for dems
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bilaps
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« Reply #5 on: March 06, 2018, 09:39:58 PM »

at this rate we'll get final results from competitive races just in time for runoffs
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bilaps
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« Reply #6 on: March 06, 2018, 09:58:55 PM »

Hullings is doing terribly in 23rd
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bilaps
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« Reply #7 on: March 06, 2018, 10:07:26 PM »

Don't know which precints reported on both sides and republican primary wasn't competitive but out of all results in TX tonight, 23rd looks best for Dems.
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bilaps
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« Reply #8 on: March 06, 2018, 10:15:37 PM »

Fletcher 5566
Moser 4051 
Westin 3502

11 precints
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bilaps
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« Reply #9 on: March 06, 2018, 10:25:47 PM »

Rick Trevino jumps to 2nd place in Dem primary in 23rd
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bilaps
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« Reply #10 on: March 06, 2018, 10:28:00 PM »

Cruz is already running ad calling O Rourke Robert
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bilaps
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« Reply #11 on: March 06, 2018, 10:33:05 PM »

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MvKElqdUxZg
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bilaps
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« Reply #12 on: March 06, 2018, 10:46:02 PM »

Nice for Moser.

340k is difference right now in senate primary votes. I really don't know what should happen until November that Dems get even a small chance here
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bilaps
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« Reply #13 on: March 06, 2018, 10:49:31 PM »

Now Canales back to 2nd place in 23rd
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bilaps
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« Reply #14 on: March 06, 2018, 11:20:38 PM »

Democrats could double their turnout from 2014, but there is no enthusiasm. HAHAHA!

Republicans are extremely talented at deluding themselves. Just look at how many of them sincerely believe that Trump cares about poor people, lol

The only delusion here is the fact that GOP percentages have been maintained from previous years  and the red avatars here haven't countered the fact with hard numbers.

Yes, primary vote raw numbers are excellent indicators of how a general election will go. Just ask Sen. Moore!

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-primary

Yeah, because nothing happened between primary and general election.
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bilaps
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« Reply #15 on: March 07, 2018, 08:11:50 AM »

So, if you are DCCC you can't be happy. And if you're a democrat you have to ask yourself how stupid are these people. Moser wouldn't head to the runoff if it wasn't for DCCC and now I think she has solid chance in a runoff too, cause the election day vote was essentialy tied.

It was a good night for progressives with Moser and probably Trevino heading to runoff.

The best result for Dems and the best chance for a pickup is TX-23. I don't see TX-07 flipping, they will have a good candidate in TX-32 but still this is lean R district. So, one pickup out of Texas looks the most reasonable outcome for now.
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bilaps
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« Reply #16 on: March 20, 2018, 07:10:20 PM »

They're saying turnout is around 29% and millenials aren't voting
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bilaps
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« Reply #17 on: March 20, 2018, 07:21:49 PM »

They're saying turnout is around 29% and millenials aren't voting

The mysterious They.  Got a source?

wgn
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bilaps
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« Reply #18 on: March 20, 2018, 08:19:30 PM »

2650 margin for Lipinski with 32% left
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bilaps
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« Reply #19 on: March 20, 2018, 08:59:44 PM »

1728 vote margin with 100 precints remaining
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bilaps
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« Reply #20 on: March 20, 2018, 09:08:53 PM »

Will dump vote and Newman ahead
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bilaps
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« Reply #21 on: March 20, 2018, 09:10:11 PM »

1672 vote lead for Newman
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bilaps
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« Reply #22 on: March 20, 2018, 09:12:31 PM »

But still 71 precint remaining, almost all in Cook, it could really go either way
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bilaps
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« Reply #23 on: March 20, 2018, 09:15:49 PM »

OMG,  nyt, Lipinski wins this
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bilaps
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« Reply #24 on: March 20, 2018, 09:19:39 PM »

Sad
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