Brazilian presidential and general elections 2022 (1st round: October 2nd, 2nd round: October 30th) (user search)
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  Brazilian presidential and general elections 2022 (1st round: October 2nd, 2nd round: October 30th) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Brazilian presidential and general elections 2022 (1st round: October 2nd, 2nd round: October 30th)  (Read 149930 times)
win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
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Posts: 855
« on: October 02, 2022, 05:21:03 PM »
bolsonaro is the favorite now surely
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2022, 05:27:54 PM »
this is another Trump 2016
the polls got it wrong again, at least it will be 2% margin of victory, not 13% ridiculousnless
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2022, 03:50:04 PM »
mina gervais is close
lulua won by 6 in the first round
if bolso wins mina gervais, does he win? or still come short
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2022, 03:54:43 PM »
I don't think its over yet.
Bolso winning Sao paolo by 16 right now although it's still early. That's the largest province in brazil. Bolso won by 6 in the first round.
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2022, 04:00:35 PM »
its looking like a lula +2 or +3 margin at the end
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2022, 04:08:02 PM »
this round isn't like the first, the north east vote count is higher than the national average so far, some are almost 50% in
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2022, 04:11:23 PM »
if bolso squeezes out mina gerais and wins sao paolo by 15+, like currently
it will be very very close in the end
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2022, 04:23:07 PM »
does neymar's endorsement have any effect in brazil? or none
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2022, 04:28:01 PM »
espirto santo is 92% in
bolso won by a margin of 17
he won by a margin of 12 in round 1

so if all of brazil is like espirto santo (a major assumption), where bolso gains 5 on lula, the end result is virtually tied
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2022, 04:36:38 PM »
i have no horse in this race
I'm just saying this is a Lula +2 in the end most likely, no massive wipeout as the northeast is about 2/3rd in already
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win win
dxu8888
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 855
« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2022, 05:26:01 PM »
lula wins barely and the polls were rigged (maybe same in ameirca?)
i never thought it was so competitive
i remember seeing lula +16 or  something a month ago before round 1
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