Phil Bredesen vs. Mark Sanford

[Ebowed]

Sanford/Sanford.



Sanford 282
Bredesen 256

A very close race; popular vote would be something like 49-49, assuming no independent liberal runs.

[Ebowed]

I'm suprised you give Wisconsin to Sanford.  I would think Bredesen would go over well there with the rural Democrats that Wisconsin is filled with.  Just curious of your reasoning behind that.

Well, the same reasoning was used when Kerry chose Edwards as his running mate.  Of course, Bredesen would be at the top of the ticket, but he wouldn't be the same Democrat he is now, because every Democrat has to mash their beliefs together into something suitable before seeking the presidency (look at Dennis Kucinich or Dick Gephardt).  Considering how close Wisconsin was in 2004 (I had expected a 51-48 victory for Kerry), it may just give the edge to Sanford in a race like this.  Sanford wouldn't need Wisconsin to win, however, if he wins every other state I gave him.

[Ebowed]

Well, the same reasoning was used when Kerry chose Edwards as his running mate.

and Kerry won Wisconsin.

By less than a percentage point.

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This is possible but his record as governor would probably be downplayed so that his new, more liberal presidential candidacy opinions would get the spotlight.