Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't Joe polling a LOT better than Beto did in 2018? If so, keep in mind that Beto came within 2% of flipping the state.
That was a DEM wave year with a popular Dem candidate. No way is this going to be like 2018. Trump will carry Texas by 6 or more.
Well, Trump is currently trailing Biden by around 7 points. This poll is seems friendly to Biden, but to say this can't be anything like 2018 is a bit extreme.
The GCB was +8.6 in 2018 right? Seems plausible for the general election to be around that
Assuming Joe is at around +7-+8 and some extra 2-years' worth of D trending in Texas, yes.