Yes. He won it bigly in 2016.
I guess 4 points is bigly lol
That makes roughly it R+5. Trump would have to lose the national popular vote by something 5 or more points to lose it, and I think we're too polarized for that in 2020.
thats implying the swing is universal, which is unlikely considering he will lose the most in the suburbs
Trump bottomed out in suburbs in 2016. These places will trend GOP in 2020.
No, yesterday's results show that there's still plenty of room for the floor to keep falling. Gillespie lost the VA suburbs by more than Trump (and lost most of the ones that Trump won, if not held onto them just barely).
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