Wisconsin Megathread

[Dr. Arch]

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Ugggghhhhhhhhhhh

[Dr. Arch]

Go Evers!

[Dr. Arch]

If the Governor's election goes anything like SD-10 went today, Walker is done.

[Dr. Arch]

Not that he a shot in hell at winning, but:

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Yeah, why would the young African American have a shot at winning in this large field of other credible challengers

Mitchell already has a record of failure. No thanks.

[Dr. Arch]

Walker looking to shore up Obamacare marketplace in WI:

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lol, I hate that he's such a snake.

[Dr. Arch]

I don’t see a way for conservatives to hold this seat, honestly.

Maybe there's even a surprise and both left-leaning judges advance to the general. I'm throwing my support for Tim.

[Dr. Arch]

Voted for Tim Burns. Hoping Dallet and Burns make it through the primary, but questioning whether even low turnout could leave the field with just two left-wingers. Guess we'll find out later.

Pretty much this.

Two votes for Tim from my household

[Dr. Arch]

I had to re register, but since im still in the same town wasn't hard to do. Was around 35 votes so far which I would say is low even for here.

I was 60 at my ward really early in the morning, which is pretty high.

[Dr. Arch]

City of Madison was already to the statewide spring primary average by 11 AM:

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Dane punched way above it's weight last spring too, which is part of the reason Evers crushed it in the DPI election. This is probably very good news for Burns, assuming that Dane is over-performing.

Yep, seems in line with my ward.

[Dr. Arch]

Anyone have link with a map? xD

[Dr. Arch]

Things aren't looking peachy for Burns. :/

[Dr. Arch]

Screnock got what he needed from Waukesha. It looks like Dallet v Scenock in the GE.

[Dr. Arch]

I remember that Kloppenburg won the primary by a plurality only to lose the GE in an inverse situation, so rest assured.

[Dr. Arch]

Western WI is looking good, and parts of eastern are not going for Screnock for as much as I thought they would.

[Dr. Arch]

Democrats looks like they'll end up getting 54-55% of the vote. That's huge.

[Dr. Arch]

Someone was asking about the Minneapolis burbs.

Polk county went from 61-33 Trump to 51-49 Screnock
Saint Croix went from 55-37 Trump to 52-48 Liberals.
Pierce went from 53-39 Trump to 55-45 Liberals.
Dunn went from 52-41 Trump to 57-43 Liberals.

 

What the hell is going on in St. Croix county and surrounding areas? The special election was a huge trend left and now tonight. This place region withstood the Obama Badger state sweep of '08. Hudson just doesn't seem like a place that would be open to voting Dem downballot. It's not known for manufacturing tendencies, wealthy champagne liberalism, and it's mostly white flight from the Twin Cities.

New trends and shifts arise as new voting constituencies form. In this case, it's likely a hard swing against the brand of politics Trump has championed into the Republican party and to the "conservative" brand as a result.

[Dr. Arch]

Final map by party total, 100% Reporting:

Solid map. Racine is really the odd duck here.

[Dr. Arch]

Who is the favorite to win the run off?

Should be Dallet. She did really well in the Driftless region.

[Dr. Arch]

Who is the favorite to win the run off?

Should be Dallet. She did really well in the Driftless region.

What's really impressive to me, frankly, is Dane County. Yes, the liberals combined did really well out west, but Dane turned in an 83-17 liberal win with 25% turnout. That's outstanding.

Yeah, especially in an election where turnout is expected in the single digits--all good signs.

[Dr. Arch]

So, based on these results, can we all finally agree that Scott Walker is finished?

Nah, I don’t see any Dem candidate inspiring the Driftless area while at the same time reducing losses in Walker’s WOW base.

Not even Vinehout? I think she has the best chance at wider appeal. Unfortunately, I don't think she'll do well in the primary, since Dane county seems bleh on her.

To be honest, I listened to her in forums and talks, and she did not impress me.

[Dr. Arch]

Not necessarily relevant to the race, but I just want to say that Evers is a major FF.

https://twitter.com/journalistish/status/973979870068912129

https://twitter.com/Tony4WI/status/973990074890248192

Vote has been ultra locked in.

[Dr. Arch]

You know, someone who I haven't seen many people talk about is this Mandela Barnes guy who's running for Lieutenant Governor. He's a former State Rep who got his seat from primarying the incumbent, and unsuccessfully attempted to primary a State Senate incumbent in 2016. He's young(only 31), African-American, and he has a good quality Twitter profile(which I guess = charisma, or something).

Provided he wins the primary, I can see him become a rising star at some point the future. Thoughts, anyone?

http://www.mandelabarnes.com/

He's a Chris Larson crony, glad he lost!

the MKE County Dem Party is the most fragmented dumpster fire of a party in the state. Larson v Abele is a giant waste of time, and I hate all of them.

Kinda fits the bill of the most fragmented city in the U.S.

[Dr. Arch]

You know, someone who I haven't seen many people talk about is this Mandela Barnes guy who's running for Lieutenant Governor. He's a former State Rep who got his seat from primarying the incumbent, and unsuccessfully attempted to primary a State Senate incumbent in 2016. He's young(only 31), African-American, and he has a good quality Twitter profile(which I guess = charisma, or something).

Provided he wins the primary, I can see him become a rising star at some point the future. Thoughts, anyone?

http://www.mandelabarnes.com/

He's a Chris Larson crony, glad he lost!

the MKE County Dem Party is the most fragmented dumpster fire of a party in the state. Larson v Abele is a giant waste of time, and I hate all of them.

Kinda fits the bill of the most fragmented city in the U.S.

You guys should read up on the wonder of a person that is Chris Larson.

I know him; I'm just saying MKE politics suck.

[Dr. Arch]

Can WI democrats flip WI House and WI senate?

Severely unlikely, as they are packed in Dane County and Milwaukee, and seem to have cratered in the Driftless Area due to Clintonian/Sunbelt Billionaire identity politics.

The Driftless area is very swingy and they didn't crater there.

Senate is probably Lean R, Assembly is probably Likely R, but closer to Safe.

This. Ignore the TX hack.

[Dr. Arch]

Please change it to "Denies." It's making me twitch.