2020 State Legislature Results -Post Here (user search)
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  2020 State Legislature Results -Post Here (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 State Legislature Results -Post Here  (Read 7923 times)
Frodo
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« on: November 04, 2020, 02:52:59 AM »

So it looks like Republicans have won a supermajority in the Kentucky legislature, particularly in the House with about 70 seats, which would be a breakthrough:

Republicans add to their super majorities in the Kentucky House and Senate

Still waiting on results in West Virginia, another area of (morbid) interest for me.  
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Frodo
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« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2020, 04:43:01 PM »

Iowa Republicans look set to expand their majorities (or rather, undo all the gains Democrats made in the 2018 midterms) in the legislature:

Republicans poised to widen majority in Iowa House and maintain Senate control

Quote
Unofficial election results showed Republicans in line to add six more seats in the House, widening their majority to 59-41. In the Senate, Republicans are in line to keep their 32-18 majority.

"We outworked the Democrats, and I think it played out tonight," House Speaker Pat Grassley, R-New Hartford, said Tuesday. "We've been door-knocking in all these districts since the middle of June."

Several Democratic groups had focused on the Iowa House as a prime target to flip from Republican to Democratic control in 2020, and the race saw millions in spending from political parties and outside groups.

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Frodo
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« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2020, 04:47:00 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2020, 04:59:37 PM by Virginia Yellow Dog »

In the meantime, Republicans successfully fended off Democratic efforts in Florida, North Carolina, and Texas.  I am not going to pretend that it doesn't hurt.  

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Frodo
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« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2020, 05:06:45 PM »

It's a nail-biter for Democrats in Arizona who once entertained hopes of taking control of the state legislature for the first time in decades:

Republicans overtake Dems in key races, control of legislature up for grabs

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Election night started on a high note for Democratic hopes of taking control of Arizona’s legislature for the first time in more than a half century, but Republicans finished strong, taking the lead in several key races that could cement their control of the state’s House of Representatives and Senate.

Democrats need net gains of two seats in the House and three in the Senate to take the majorities in each chamber. And as of late Tuesday night, they led in just enough races to make that a reality, if those leads held up.

But Republicans gained ground with each new vote count, and the last batch of ballots reported by Maricopa County around 2:30 Wednesday morning flipped several races.
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Frodo
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« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2020, 05:32:33 PM »



And this is before redistricting.  How much bigger can Republican majorities in both West Virginia and Kentucky get after they're done gerrymandering? 
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Frodo
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2020, 06:12:44 PM »
« Edited: November 05, 2020, 06:19:10 PM by Virginia Yellow Dog »

Now that the votes have been counted, it has been confirmed that Kentucky Republicans have won a 75:25 majority in the House, and a 30:8 majority in the Senate:

Republicans increase their super majorities in both chambers of KY General Assembly

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"Trump's popularity here in Kentucky really effected a lot of down ballot races," said Tom Matajasic, a Kentucky Political Analyst and History Professor at Big Sandy Community and Technical College in Floyd County.

In the Kentucky House, Republicans gained 13 seats, bringing their numbers to 75 Republicans versus 25 Democrats. Of the 13 seats picked up from the election, 7 were open seats and 6 were seats previously held by Democrats. In the Kentucky Senate, Republicans picked up 2 seats previously held by Democrats. One of those was from Eastern Kentucky. Republicans now have 30 Senate members versus 8 Democratic members.

"I don't really think that was any reflection on the job Governor Beshear has done. I think it was more of a reflection of the popularity of Donald Trump in Kentucky," said Matajasic.

It seems that Republicans have broken through in ancestrally Democratic eastern Kentucky, just as their West Virginia GOP counterparts did in the southern part of their state.  
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Frodo
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« Reply #6 on: November 06, 2020, 12:47:42 AM »

Minnesota Republicans have made some gains in the Iron Range:

Iron Range shift to GOP reaches state races

This wasn't the actual title of the article, but it should have been. 

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Frodo
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« Reply #7 on: November 07, 2020, 02:01:56 PM »

It looks like Arizona and Georgia are also shaping up to be disappointments.

It has been a dismal election all around for Democrats except for winning the White House. 
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Frodo
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« Reply #8 on: November 08, 2020, 03:05:41 AM »

So it looks like Minnesota's legislature is going to be even more divided than it is already, with Democrats holding only a slight majority in the House, and Republicans only barely hanging on in the Senate:

Minnesota Legislature will remain divided
Democrats kept the House and Republicans kept Senate in Tuesday's election, which translates to two more years of tense partisan debate over Minnesota's future.

Quote
Possible recounts and mail-in ballots notwithstanding, it appears the GOP picked up six seats in the House. Democrats, who held a 75 to 59 majority the past two years will have only a 69 to 65 majority in the 2021-2022 cycle.

(...) In the Senate, Republicans held a 35 to 32 seat majority during the 2019-2020 session. At this point it appears that majority may shrink to a 34 to 33 split.
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Frodo
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« Reply #9 on: November 08, 2020, 06:23:43 PM »
« Edited: November 08, 2020, 06:29:07 PM by Virginia Yellow Dog »

Early indications are that Democrats failed to win a supermajority in the New York Senate, and actually lost seats in the legislature as a whole:

GOP Gains Seats In New York State Legislature

Quote
State Senate Democrats needed to add two seats during Tuesday’s election to secure a “supermajority” in a chamber that was controlled by Republicans until 2018. A supermajority would have given Democrats two-thirds of the Senate’s seats, giving it the power to override vetoes from the governor’s office and giving senators more leverage.

Entering Tuesday’s election, Democrats held 106 seats in the state Assembly and 41 in the state Senate.

According to a summary of unofficial results in state Assembly and Senate races compiled Wednesday morning by the Associated Press, Republicans picked up five seats in the state Senate and nine seats in the state Assembly, leaving Democrats with a 96 members of the 150-seat Assembly and 36 members in the 60-seat Senate. Those results are far from final with thousands of absentee ballots still to be counted in counties throughout the state.

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Frodo
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« Reply #10 on: November 08, 2020, 06:28:34 PM »

It doesn't look much better in Pennsylvania:

Republicans poised to expand Pa. Senate control, keep House majority

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Frodo
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« Reply #11 on: November 11, 2020, 05:07:15 PM »

Worth remembering that even Republicans thought it quite likely that Democrats would make at least some significant gains in the legislatures this year.

So much for that....  
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Frodo
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« Reply #12 on: November 11, 2020, 05:26:35 PM »

Yes. The MIGOP refused to share their internals with MIRS news as late as the day before the election (so much for the "late swing" narrative) because they were (as they admitted) bad. They did not refuse to do this in 2016.

Looking at the Michigan results, it is hard to see why (in retrospect) they were so apprehensive:

Republicans flip Democratic seats, keep majority in Michigan House

Quote
Republicans are poised to return a majority to the Michigan House next term after offsetting potential losses by flipping two Democratic seats.

Losses by incumbent Reps. Brian Elder of Bay City and Sheryl Kennedy of Davison killed Democrats’ quest to seize control of the lower chamber for the first time since 2010. GOP candidates held enough other seats to retain at least a 57-53 majority.

It’s a tough blow for Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, who hit the campaign trail last month for Elder, Kennedy and other Democratic candidates in an attempt to break the GOP’s decade-long grip on the Michigan Legislature.

Instead, Republicans will retain control of both the House and Senate for the remainder of Whitmer’s first of two possible terms, limiting her ability to advance an agenda that has been largely stymied by partisan fights and COVID-19.
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