2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[Frodo]

Biden speaking now: we believe we are going to win this election.

Doesn't really matter to me at this point even if Biden technically 'wins' -it will be a hollow victory especially with Republicans controlling the Senate.  This night has been depressing beyond all words.  Are we ever going to get out of this twenty-year rut of close elections, 2008 being the only exception? 

[Frodo]

https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1323863787825438720?s=20

Before the Poles are closed?
Poles???

Trump has not forgotten about Poland!

[Frodo]

At this point, given how this night has shaped up, I almost don't want Biden to win anymore.  Not like this, clawing and scraping for every last electoral vote to get him to 270.   

[Frodo]

Biden could end up being very popular. And Americans seem to love divided government for some reason....

And then get frustrated when almost nothing gets accomplished, and wonder why.  

[Frodo]

At this point, it is safe to call Nevada and Pennsylvania for Biden, and North Carolina, Alaska, and Maine's second district for Trump.  Georgia and Arizona will be subject to recounts, and they probably should be anyway. 

[Frodo]

At this point, it is safe to call Nevada and Pennsylvania for Biden, and North Carolina, Alaska, and Maine's second district for Trump.   

North Carolina???

Yes, North Carolina.  Trump's lead there hasn't budged since election day. 

[Frodo]

https://twitter.com/VanityFair/status/1324852450109624322?s=20
In the words of Bill O'Reily, "DO IT LIVE!"

Challenge accepted. 

[Frodo]

I'm starting to think our fears of post-election violence were overblown.

(Not saying there won't be small pockets of unrest, but so far, thousands of Trump supporters haven't taken to the streets.)

*fingers crossed*

I am pleasantly surprised so far.  I was half-expecting Oklahoma City-style bombings, or maybe that will happen after Biden is inaugurated... 

[Frodo]

What a embarrassing low margin in PA and WI, considering Biden is probably going to win the NPV by over 4 points after the slow counting blue states finish. Despite all the hype about NC's leftward trend, this another state that is very stubborn for Democrats and is going to be around R+ 5-6% compared to the NPV.

The electoral college is 3-4 points to the right of the nation.  Democrats will have to win elections by 3-4 points in the NPV for the foreseeable future to hold the presidency.

The House is so gerrymandered that Dems were only able to get a 36-seat advantage in an election they won by 8%.  The clincher flip was CA-10 which Dems won by 4.5%, so shift the results 4.5% to the right and the Republicans hold the House despite losing the election by 3-4%.  This means the House is just as rigged in favor of the GOP as the electoral college.

And don't even get me started on the Senate, where states with 2 Dem senators represent 47.22% of the American population, while states with 2 GOP senators represent 41.1%, yet the GOP controls the chamber.  Split the 1-1 states, and the Democratic minority represents 53.04% of the country, while the Republican majority represents 46.96% of the country.

And now that the GOP was able to hold off Democrats in down-ballot races in North Carolina, Florida, and Texas among other states that we were hoping to make gains in (still awaiting final results in Arizona and Georgia...), we are going to see Republicans double down on gerrymandering for yet another decade.  We can't catch a break.  

[Frodo]

This is the perfect page number to end this thread at. 

[Frodo]

We need to start holding news organizations accountable.  Bring back equal-time rule and ban spread of misinformation on cable TV now!~

You mean reinstating the Fairness Doctrine? 

[Frodo]

And now we wait for Arizona....