Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Frodo]

Fox News, Dec. 8-11, 1000 RV (prior poll OCt. 27-30)

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 53 (-4)

Impeach and remove Trump?  Yes 50, No 46 (was 49/45)

Biden 48, Trump 41 (was 51/39)
Sanders 49, Trump 43 (49/41)
Bloomberg 45, Trump 40 (no prior)
Warren 46, Trump 45 (46/41)
Buttigieg 43, Trump 42 (41/41)

An interesting question: do you THINK <candidate> can beat Trump in 2020?

Biden: Yes 77, No 17 (was 68/17)
Sanders: 60/31 (54/34)
Warren: 59/34 (57/25)
Bloomberg: 55/33 (no prior)
Buttigieg: 48/42 (30/44)

Just as a reminder, in November 2016 (the last few days before Election Day), Trump's poll average had him at 44%, with Hillary Clinton leading him at 47%.

We all know how that turned out... 

[Frodo]

Fox News, Dec. 8-11, 1000 RV (prior poll OCt. 27-30)

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 53 (-4)

Impeach and remove Trump?  Yes 50, No 46 (was 49/45)

Biden 48, Trump 41 (was 51/39)
Sanders 49, Trump 43 (49/41)
Bloomberg 45, Trump 40 (no prior)
Warren 46, Trump 45 (46/41)
Buttigieg 43, Trump 42 (41/41)

An interesting question: do you THINK <candidate> can beat Trump in 2020?

Biden: Yes 77, No 17 (was 68/17)
Sanders: 60/31 (54/34)
Warren: 59/34 (57/25)
Bloomberg: 55/33 (no prior)
Buttigieg: 48/42 (30/44)

Just as a reminder, in November 2016 (the last few days before Election Day), Trump's poll average had him at 44%, with Hillary Clinton leading him at 47%.

We all know how that turned out...  

Yeah, Trump got 46% and Hillary got 48%. Pretty close to be honest.

Edit: If your saying national polls are going to underestimate Trump, then I have to disagree with you. The national polls were pretty spot on in 2016, and Trump's approval rating in the 2018 exit polls was 45/54, which is spot on with where the polling aggregates had him and continue to have him.

I am not saying the polls are underestimating Trump -if anything I agree with you.  As this poll indicates, Trump is returning back to where his approvals were before Election Day 2016.  Which is somewhat ominous if unsurprising.  My point is that the polls are overestimating the Democratic candidates.  Once the general election really gets going, and Trump starts driving the Democratic nominee's numbers down to Hillary's levels, we are going to see a similar dynamic with the likelihood of Trump losing the popular vote but winning the electoral college.

[Frodo]

Once the general election really gets going, and Trump starts driving the Democratic nominee's numbers down to Hillary's levels, we are going to see a similar dynamic with the likelihood of Trump losing the popular vote but winning the electoral college.

It's not a likelihood. Even last cycle the chance of a popular/electoral split was never more than 10% according to 538.

Trump is special.  Rules and precedents that apply to everyone else don't apply to him. Have we not learned this lesson yet since he came down that damned escalator?  

[Frodo]

https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/1256178342052626432

How I wish today was election day....   

[Frodo]

WaPo - Trump handling of the virus still low

Adults: 44/56 (-12)
RV: 45/55 (-10)

Males: 45/55 (-10)
Females: 42/58 (-16)

Independents: 41/59 (-18)
White: 50/50 (=)
Blacks: 23/77 (-54)
Hispanics: 39/61 (-22)

18-39: 40/60 (-20)
40-64: 46/53 (-7)
65+: 45/55 (-10)

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/americans-widely-oppose-reopening-most-businesses-despite-easing-of-restrictions-in-some-states-post-u-md-poll-finds/2020/05/04/495ddc3a-8e36-11ea-9e23-6914ee410a5f_story.html

'Still'?  Are you expecting his approval ratings to rise for some reason?

[Frodo]

And now Trump is trying to appeal to Latino men to save his re-election chances.  Is he for real?

[Frodo]

For my fellow Democrats fidgeting over the fact Trump is still hovering at just over 40% despite everything that has happened, consider the fact that during the Democratic landslides of 1932 and 1964, Herbert Hoover and Barry Goldwater (respectively) managed to win just under 40% of the popular vote while suffering crushing defeat in the electoral college.   1936 was an even bigger landslide for Franklin D. Roosevelt than 1932, and the Republican nominee still won 36.5% of the popular vote.  There will always be a hard core of supporters for any presidential nominee, and Donald Trump is no different.