Bernie Sanders 2020 campaign megathread v2 (pg 77 - declares victory in Iowa)

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Sanders creates history hitting 1M donors & 2.5M donations. This is a new record in terms of time frame & by a wide margin.

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Bernie supporters have made 1.2M odd phone calls in the last 9 days which is an incredible number.

Also he has the least amount of maxed out donors. He has 1M individual donors & 2.5M+ donations & has the war chest of any candidate. He is also the most likely to over perform polls as he has polling great among less likely voters.

I am sure he will come back strong & can win this & be FDR II.

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It just shows how fickle people are, how ideology less people really are & how fickle the movement was when it has so many backstabbers.

Here is 1 Man who has been fighting the fight for 30-40 years when Elizabeth Warren was a Republican supporting a man far worse than Trump (Reagan) - Massive austerity, cuts to welfare, huge tax breaks, religious war & so on.

Here is Warren - She has promised to raise PAC money for the GE (Through the DNC). She was nowhere near Standing Rock. She didn't support the Progressive fight in 2016 because not only is she a fraud, but a power hungry woman who wanted to be Hillary's VP & cement the neoliberal movement.

She supported 700B$+ Military budgets, gave Trump a blanket check to bomb children in Yemen. She did nothing when Trump used the Military Budget to conduct war crimes on children around the world.

And most of all she has called Medicare-for-all a Framework, one of the ideas. And now Harry Reid comes out & says Warren is a pragmatic who will once elected abandon Medicare-for-all.

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The fact that people are abandoning FDR type, once in a 100 year candidate like Bernie for a fraud like Warren shows they were never progressives.

Anyways, now that many of the Bernie progressives have turned neoliberals, in honour to remind what a historic candidate they once supported. I would like to highlight to letters from decades back one Bernand Sanders wrote -

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Pressley is from Massachusetts so she will not be endorsing Bernie till Warren is a viable contender or atleast till Iowa & NH.

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Incredible numbers.

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26K. Huge crowd.

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John Harwood: Do you have any problem with the work that she’s done in the past, advising corporations — Dow Corning, Dow Chemical — on legal problems?

Bernie Sanders: I’ll let the American people make that judgment. I have never worked for a corporation myself. I’ve never carried their baggage in the United States Senate. People have the opportunity to look at my record. It’s not last year, not two years ago — I was for “Medicare for All” when I was mayor of Burlington in the 1980s. During my career, I have taken on every powerful corporate interest, whether it’s the drug companies, the insurance companies, fossil fuel, Wall Street. I’ve been doing this for 30 or 40 years. These are not new ideas for me

What I am trying to do, in many ways, is pick up where Franklin Delano Roosevelt left off. In a not widely publicized State of The Union speech he gave in 1944, this is what he said in so many words: “We have political rights. You have freedom of speech, freedom of assembly, freedom of religion. All of that’s great, but what we don’t have are guaranteed economic rights.” What I’m trying to do in this campaign is say that economic rights must be considered as human rights.

It’s not good enough just to look at economic growth. That has been the biblical stature that corporate America has been looking at — we have growth, we have growth. The average worker is no better off than he or she was 45 years ago. In the last 30 years, the top 1% have seen a $21 trillion increase in their wealth. The bottom half of America’s seen a decline in their wealth. Half the people today are living paycheck to paycheck.

I am a different type of politician, and my administration will be unique in modern American history at least going back to FDR. I grew up at a time when African Americans could not vote, right? Kids could not go to a local school, could not drink at a water fountain. And change took place. Martin Luther King Jr., others, they stood up and they fought. 100 years ago, women did not have the right to vote, because as we all know, women’s place is in the house; 100 years ago — not a long time. Change can take place when you motivate people, when you get people organized when they stand up for justice. That’s what I believe. I will appoint an attorney general, who for the first time in modern history, will go after the white-collar crime, which I believe is rampant. I will appoint an attorney general who is prepared to enforce the antitrust laws that are on the books, that have been neglected for so very long.


When I became mayor of the city of Burlington way back when in 1981, a local reporter said, “Well the odds of Sanders winning against the five-term incumbent, running as an independent, are about 100 to 1.” I won. Last time around, taking on the entire Democratic establishment, we ended up winning 22 states and got more young people’s votes than Trump and Clinton combined.The ideas that I talked about four years ago seemed so radical and extreme. Today they’re kind of mainstream ideas, right? Don’t underestimate me.

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Why do  ATLAS not ban posters engaged in trolling/fake information posting & intentional misleading posts? Gen-Mc is a well known paid troll who is also the illegitimate child of Alex Jones & he keeps posting nonsense & destroys the whole thread. This has become a Sanders hate thread based on lies & fake news.

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Bernie Sanders Volunteers is on track for 2M Calls in 10 odd days or something like that. Also did 1M Calls @ the start of the week. Also number of donations have increased compared to last month although amount raised is similar.

In the latest poll of College Students in Iowa, Bernie gains & Liz falls a bit so Bernie overtakes her to take No.1 Spot. The momentum is on the upward side.

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Noam Chomsky: Bernie Sanders ‘Has Absolutely Infuriated The Liberal Establishment’

“He has absolutely infuriated the liberal establishment by committing a major crime,” Chomsky said, explaining that the Democratic elite is not opposed to Sanders just because they don’t like his policies, but because he has managed to build a powerful movement of activists willing to participate in the political process. “His crime was to organize an ongoing political movement that doesn’t just show up at the polls every four years and push a button, but keeps working. That’s no good. The rabble is supposed to stay home.”

This, according to Chomsky, is the main reason Democratic establishment is more comfortable with Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren. Although a progressive, Warren is not a movement politician, the historian explained, and she does not want to “institute radical institutional changes.” What Sanders has done, according to Chomsky, irks the elite because his movement helped individuals such as New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez get into Congress. “That’s scary. Nobody in the political mainstream wants that,” Chomsky said, noting that Warren has “perfectly reasonable” policy proposals.

https://www.inquisitr.com/5722127/chomsky-sanders-political-movement/

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Sen. Bernie Sanders released a plan to legalize marijuana. The proposal is among the most ambitious from one of the Democratic presidential candidates. It would move to legalize marijuana within 100 days through executive action. First, Sanders would sign an executive order directing the attorney general to declassify marijuana as a controlled substance — removing it from the drug scheduling system and effectively legalizing weed at the federal level. Sanders would then push Congress to pass a bill to “ensure permanent legalization of marijuana.” After it’s legalized at the federal level, states would also still need to legalize within their own borders.

Separately, the Sanders administration would push state and federal authorities to expunge past convictions for marijuana. As noted in Sanders’s criminal justice reform plan, he would also set up an independent clemency board to grant those with federal convictions an early relief. Sanders also promises to use new tax revenue from legal marijuana to create a $20 billion grant program for “entrepreneurs of color who continue to face discrimination in access to capital” and another $10 billion grant program for businesses “that are at least 51% owned or controlled by those in disproportionately impacted areas or individuals who have been arrested for or convicted of marijuana offenses.”

Finally, Sanders would ban tobacco companies, as well as other companies that make cancer-causing products or are “guilty of deceptive marketing,” from the pot industry; set market share and franchise caps; and establish federal regulation for the safety of cannabis products.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/10/24/20930422/bernie-sanders-marijuana-legalization-plan

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NH is probably an easier win for him than NV at this point (the Reid machine is backing Warren), but if he can win IA and NH, he has a pretty good shot at the nomination, better than what he would have had had he unambiguously won IA in 2016.

Warren is doing bad with the Hispanic community. The media have largely focused on Buttigieg but Warren is totally similar. Sanders is leading among Hispanic voters in most polls & is 2nd to Biden among some. It would be easy for Warren. The first 3 early states are fairly fluid @ this point.

Highly unlikely he wins anything at this rate, no matter what his deranged cultists suggest. Warren still has a commanding lead in aggregate polling of both IA and NH.

The RCP average has - Biden 19.7, Warren 19,7, Bernie 19. The last 2 polls had Biden & Bernie leading & Warren is leading neither. This is a commanding lead in NH? Please stop peddling fake news.

Iowa has Warren ahead with a 4.3% lead but in 2 polls she is leading by 1% & in by 3%. If you consider committed voters who have decided, Warren is 3rd or 4th in both Iowa & NH & massively behind Bernie. Sanders has around 60% Surely vote voters while it is 30-40% at best for Warren.

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National Nurses United, the country’s largest nurses union group, will endorse Sen. Bernard Sanders for president this week, the group announced on Tuesday. “We need a president who makes it easier for us to stand together and hold our employers accountable for putting people above profits,” said NNU President Jean Ross. Ms. Ross cited Mr. Sanders’ support for a universal “Medicare for All” health care system, as well as his position on other issues such as climate change and labor rights.

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2019/nov/12/bernie-sanders-receive-endorsement-nurses-union-gr/

"I don't support — a mandatory buyback is essentially confiscation, which I think is unconstitutional," he replied. "It means that I am going to walk into your house and take something whether you like it or not. I don't think that stands up to constitutional scrutiny."

Sanders shared his gun control plan, which included taking an adversarial stance against the National Rifle Association, increasing background checks and banning the sale of assault weapons. "We cannot allow the NRA to dictate policy because they've intimidated [President] Trump and they've intimidated the Republican party," he added. "I'm not going to be intimidated by them."

https://www.foxnews.com/media/bernie-sanders-gun-buyback-confiscation-iowa-rally

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Sanders doubling his paid campaign staff in California:

https://fortune.com/2019/11/13/bernie-sanders-california-campaign-upping-its-game-ahead-of-super-tuesday-march-3/

He has also jumped into second place in a Capitol Weekly poll of the state, 6 points behind Warren.

If he won California, it would certainly be good for him since it might cancel out Biden winning a lot of Southern States that are also on Super Tuesday. I feel that winning California, Minnesota, Vermont, Massachusetts and Maine would be a great day for Bernie.

Warren will be competitive till Super Tuesday atleast & she will almost certainly win Massachusetts !

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Sanders got an incredible reception in the Univision townhall. The ovation was crazy when he came & kept on after he went.

He is going to be very strong among Hispanic voters & will most likely outperform polls among Hispanic voters as well.

Don't know why Warren or Biden didn't attend the event.

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Sanders won the endorsement of California Young Democrats with 67% of the vote.

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https://twitter.com/ShaneGoldmacher/status/1196814213731274752

If that us true then he will raise atleast 30M if not more. There is a big windfall after the debates & there is a big windfall at the end of the Quarter.

I think he may go near 35M if the above mentioned.

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Sanders just surpassed Warren on the RCP Average

Yeah but more to do with Warren with a small Bernie bounce. Warren has fallen quite a bit in the Early States & Notionally losing most ground to Pete in Iowa & NH.

The good news is as per the Morning Consult Poll which has a huge sample size, Sanders is now the 2nd choice among Biden & Warren supporters. Given Sanders' own locked up somewhat sticky support, potentially gaining some Biden & Warren supporters can be crucial.

Biden has gone down in Iowa & NH to the benefit of Pete. If he loses more support nationally, in the South & Midwest, it will help Bernie the most.

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All those points would have been sensible & not ridiculous if Sanders was not the 2nd choice among both Biden & Warren supporters. In a 2 way race with Buttigieg, he is likely getting over 60% & over 50-55% vs Warren. The only person who is beating him 1 on 1 is Biden who is polling poorly in early states & has a soft support & Sanders is the 2nd choice of his voters as per Morning Consult polls.

Among Black & Hispanic voters, Pete is 4th choice behind Biden, Bernie & Warren which closes any path that he has.

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 Bernie has just gotten to second place on the RCP and he performed well enough at the last debate.

That's based entirely on the Emerson poll, though. We've been in a bit of a polling drought, and probably that'll last through next week? It'll be interesting to see if Emerson's numbers are reflected elsewhere when we start getting lots of polls again.

I get that this post is pretty dated but Sanders is indeed ahead of Warren in almost every major poll now.

That said, Emerson continues to produce stronger numbers for Sanders than other polls.

Let's see what the average looks like now that the Emerson poll has fallen off.



Oh, Bernie Sanders is exactly back where he was before his "surge" that was solely contained in one poll.

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That is like a 12-15% fall for Warren from her all time high polling. It is like a complete crash. Total downward spiral. She really needs an incredible performance in the debate to hang on & turn around.

Unlike others I am not that worried about Pete beyond NH since Pete is 4th choice among both black & Hispanic voters & has a controversial problematic record with no experience. He also is disliked intensely by Sanders' young supporters & by probably some of Yang & Warren's young voters too. There is only so much he can do by getting more older white conservative boomer voters.

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Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders met Monday with baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred to discuss MLB’s proposal to that would drop 42 minor league teams from their leagues after the 2020 season.

MLB is negotiating a new agreement with the National Association of Professional Baseball Leagues, the governing body of the minors. The initial proposal primarily would impact lower-level teams in short-season leagues.

Sanders, a senator from Vermont, sent Manfred a letter on Nov. 25 calling the plan “an absolute disaster for baseball fans, workers and communities throughout the country.”

https://apnews.com/462c0621624048cda5ab61ba801f25eb

Good move by Bernie, will help him with the Field of Dreams vote in Iowa.

Would be irrelevant. Unfortunately Bernie doesn't base all his actions based on coming elections like Pete or someone like that. This is a stray trivial issue but one that Bernie is concerned about.

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Over the last two months, Bernie Sanders has overtaken Elizabeth Warren as the top 2020 Democratic candidate among college students, according to a new College Reaction/Axios poll.

Sanders - 22.5% (+7)
Warren - 15.9% (-3.6)
Biden - 12.3% (-0.
Yang - 9.3 (-1.1)
Buttigieg - 8.2% (+1.7)

https://www.axios.com/bernie-sanders-college-students-2020-0b36afb2-7d0f-4cd1-8b08-851b3c54da84.html

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Iowa's largest progressive group endorses Bernie Sanders

With only about two months left before Iowa's first-in-the-nation 2020 caucuses, the political arm of the state's largest grassroots progressive group endorsed Sen. Bernie Sanders for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination on Monday. "From standing with us on strike lines with fast food workers to touring rural Iowa plagued by factory farms, Bernie has helped build the political revolution we've been building for decades. And we could not be more excited to have him build it with us in Iowa in 2020," said the Iowa Citizens for Community Improvement (CCI) Action Fund.

On the heels of the action fund's announcement Monday, Iowa Student Action announced on Twitter that it was following the group's footsteps and supporting Sanders' second run for the White House:

https://www.salon.com/2019/12/05/iowas-largest-progressive-group-endorses-bernie-sanders_partner/

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Bernie Sanders is breaking barriers with young Latinos. Now he just needs them to vote

As this coming year's nominating contest swirls into view, Sanders, the resilient democratic socialist from Vermont, will be counting on the support of Latinos, a kaleidoscopically diverse voting bloc that could swing races in states like California, Nevada, Florida and even Iowa, to help him -- and the progressive movement he stoked four years ago -- deliver the "political revolution" his supporters, staffers and volunteers have worked for so long to realize. In interviews with leading Democratic Latino strategists, pollsters, activists and Sanders' highest-profile backer, Ocasio-Cortez, a common thread emerged: Sanders, bolstered by notable early investments in Latino outreach and underscored by more nuanced messaging than typically directed at this diverse community, has created a growing sense that he might not only win with the community in states like Nevada and California, but chart out a new path for how Democrats seek and earn Latino support.

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/12/08/politics/bernie-sanders-young-latino-voters/index.html