Nevada Primary/Caucus (Feb. 6/8) Megathread

[gf20202]

After Biden hit 96% against Williamson and Phillips in South Carolina with all votes counted, what percent do we think he gets in Nevada against just Williamson? Maybe it's just vibes but Nevada feels like it might be more into fringe figures and/or more prone to a protest vote based off the middle east situation. I can't imagine labor really organized or gave a crap about this.

Any guesses? My guess is 91%. Would you all take the over or under on it?

[gf20202]

After Biden hit 96% against Williamson and Phillips in South Carolina with all votes counted, what percent do we think he gets in Nevada against just Williamson? Maybe it's just vibes but Nevada feels like it might be more into fringe figures and/or more prone to a protest vote based off the middle east situation. I can't imagine labor really organized or gave a crap about this.

Any guesses? My guess is 91%. Would you all take the over or under on it?

Under. Williamson will be a non-factor at like 3-4% but Nevada also has None of These Candidates on the ballot and I think None of These Candidates is a far more formidable opponent for Biden than any named opponent he has.

Something like:
Biden 87
None of These Candidates 10
Williamson/Other 3

Seems reasonable. (There's like 10 randos on the ballot too but should be a total non-factor)

Interesting about none of these candidates factor. I forgot Nikki has a shot at being embarrassed.

Thought Trump was alone on the caucus ballot, but I guess Ryan Binkley is on it? Wonder if he draws any kind of even marginal protest vote away from Trump.

[gf20202]

Anybody got the NYT results links for R and D through a gift link?

[gf20202]

After Biden hit 96% against Williamson and Phillips in South Carolina with all votes counted, what percent do we think he gets in Nevada against just Williamson? Maybe it's just vibes but Nevada feels like it might be more into fringe figures and/or more prone to a protest vote based off the middle east situation. I can't imagine labor really organized or gave a crap about this.

Any guesses? My guess is 91%. Would you all take the over or under on it?

Feeling good about my guess! 90% with 64% in.

For everybody saying how bad this is for Nikki, she literally didn't put any resources into the state and it's a low turnout non-binding primary in a state that Trump has super wired. She's goling to get demolished by Trump the rest of the way, but this has nothing to do with the narrative.