If Jolly Wins the Florida Primary?

[Heisenberg]

Lean R Hold.  I think he will do better with swing voters, and swing areas.  His generally fiscally conservative views, along with other unique stances can build a strong coalition.  I think Murphy is overrated as a candidate.  Even DeSantis, while more conservative than Jolly, is a strong campaigner and can keep this race competitive against either Murphy or Grayson.  I wish the GOP could just rally around one candidate, but we'll see.  I hope they can hold this seat.

[Heisenberg]

Toss-up with Murphy, Safe R with Grayson.

I'd say it is lean R with DeSantis against Murphy, which is why he is the stronger choice.

Jolly's moderate stands don't make up for being pretty inept at other basic things that candidates need to be good at when they run for Senate. Ron DeSantis is running a very capable operation though he is also running the most conservative one.

I know some of his folks very well. Capable operation is an understatement.

I actually think DeSantis is a very strong candidate, even more so than Jolly.  He seems to be running a great campaign, and is accumulating a big war chest.  At first I thought he would be way too conservative for Florida, but on second thought I don't really think so.  Never underestimate DeSantis.  I think the Florida GOP should just rally around him.  The NRCC is battling against Jolly for his 60 Minutes appearance.