Who will win? megathread (user search)
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  Who will win? megathread (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Who will win?
#1
Biden
 
#2
Trump
 
#3
Neither
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 29

Author Topic: Who will win? megathread  (Read 3260 times)
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« on: October 28, 2020, 11:00:44 PM »

Well, his closing campaign message is that the pandemic isn't a big deal, meanwhile daily case and hospitalization numbers are spiking upward yet again due to his catastrophic failures.

Certainly doesn't seem like a candidate who is likely to win.



Strong recommendation for anyone who needs a reality check right now: Go watch an evening national news program every night this week and see if you can find even one thing during the entire program that is likely to persuade any remaining undecided voters to support Trump. You're not likely to find it.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2020, 11:27:11 PM »

He's going to win. There's clearly about a 10 point error in the polls in his favor. He will keep the 2016 map and add NV and MN.

My sarcasm detector is failing me here.

In case this somehow isn't sarcasm: In the modern history of election polling there has only been a national polling error of that size once at 6 days out from the election, in 1980. Even in that year, the polling shifted pretty clearly in Reagan's direction in the handful of days remaining, as people made up their minds after the unusually late first-and-only presidential debate of that cycle, which had only occurred on October 28th and which pretty much everyone considers to have been a decisive debate victory for Reagan. Unless you are counting on some earth-shattering event in the next five days (perhaps even literally Earth shattering, like all of coastal California falling into the sea) causing a drastic shift in the race, please, explain how you think there will be a polling miss even worse than the final miss for that year.

Man I am so tired of responding to the bullcrap this year.
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