Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
Posts: 6,707
Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87
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« on: September 01, 2020, 02:57:56 PM » |
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A two-point swing to the Republicans immediately after the Republican convention is really not something that concerns me. Will likely be back to Biden +6 or +7 in a week. Tiny movements like this more than a month out from the election mean basically nothing.
If things don't rebound in a week or two, sure, that will be cause for *some* concern. But I'm probably 80% confident this will revert to the prior mean. And even if it doesn't, Biden leading Michigan by 4 is still consistent with a solid Biden win nationally, it would just be by a +6 or +7 margin, rather than the +8 to +10 we had been seeing.
I think I'm done commenting on polls for like a week because this is really just tiresome having to point out glaringly obvious things.
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