McMullin Voters 2020 (user search)
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Poll
Question: What will Utah's McMullin voters most likely do in 2020 if there is not a similarly popular third option and they are forced to make a more traditional binary choice?
#1
Hold their noses & vote Trump
 
#2
Vote for the Democratic nominee
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 60

Author Topic: McMullin Voters 2020  (Read 695 times)
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« on: November 10, 2019, 08:56:41 PM »

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 11, 2019, 12:30:52 AM »

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.
He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,707
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 11, 2019, 12:40:40 AM »

My best guess is a majority of them will end up voting for Trump, but not nearly all of them. I suspect he gets something like 58% of the vote statewide.
He will get 60% easily in Utah in 2020.

His approval rating in the state suggests that is not as easy as you think.
Disapproval doesn't mean they won't vote for him. The democrats leftward movement is gonna consolidate the right and right leaners. I don't think third party vote will be very high at all in 2020.

I mean feel free to look up previous presidents' approval/disapproval ratings during re-election campaigns. It's not too common to find examples where they drastically overperform their approval, and if anything it is probably becoming less common over time.
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