Abortion rights amendment will be on FL ballot this year

[Virginiá]

It needs 60% to pass. I don’t know if it can get 60. If it fails to even get 50%, then Dems should completely abandon FL for the future, as that would show that FL is solidly conservative in terms of ideology.

I'm personally expecting somewhere in the ballpark of 55 - 58%. I'd be surprised if it broke 60%. I would give much better odds to marijuana legalization passing.

FWIW a poll from late last year gave abortion 62% approval and 67% to marijuana legalization.

[Virginiá]

You're forgetting that a six-week abortion ban will take effect in 30 days (another decision that just dropped). There will be backlash from that ruling that will no doubt benefit Amendment 4.

Both amendments have a path to 60% but I'd agree Amendment 3 is probably easier.

Not forgetting, just pessimistic about its chances. I hope to be proven wrong!