FL-GOV Chamber of Commerce: Gillum +4 (user search)
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  FL-GOV Chamber of Commerce: Gillum +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-GOV Chamber of Commerce: Gillum +4  (Read 3231 times)
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
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Posts: 18,916
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

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« on: September 12, 2018, 11:15:23 AM »

This is the nail in the tossup FLGOV race. If Gillum is leading by 4 in an R pollster, then DeSantis is not close. This is a lean D race, folks.

How exactly are tossups rated by most people? I saw someone else post that RCP generally rates any race that is consistently within 5 points or less on either side as tossups, and 5 - 10 are Lean D/R. So just as an example, this would still be a tossup by RCP's system.

On the other hand, my own views are generally not strictly data-oriented. If the race is consistently D+2 or D+3 or whatever, and I don't believe there is any reason it will ever go below that, then I'd put it as Leans D myself, even though it's still within the MoE (more or less).
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Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,916
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW
« Reply #1 on: September 12, 2018, 05:07:43 PM »

Oh well, if Gillum wins, his program will be DOA in the legislature. 

One step at a time.
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