Is Nevada really still a swing state?

[Virginiá]

I don't think it's a swing state, but it's not unwinnable for a Republican yet. The problem is, the demographic changes are happening so rapidly that it's likely to stay Democratic for a long time now. I say this because I cannot see Trump winning that state, and by 2020 demographic changes will have put it even further out of reach for Republicans, perhaps entirely if Trump inspires much greater turnout among Hispanic voters, which will likely stay somewhat higher than they are now. Nevada is one of the 3 main states Soros and his friends are investing big money in regarding Hispanic turnout operations, so that will help.

Also at play here is generational changes (whose voting habits are heavily influenced also by demographic changes). 18-29 voters have been trending significantly Democratic in NV and have largely continued so as they aged:



As you can see, the Millennials in Nevada has trended heavily Democratic cycle after cycle, and as they have aged, they have carried their pro-Democratic voting habits into the next age bracket. At this rate, by 2024, the entire 18 - 44 age bracket will be a 55% - 60%+ Democratic bloc and 45 - 64 will be 52% - 56% or more, assuming no major changes to voting habits.

The only age group that has been giving Republicans a fighting chance are 65+ year olds, and after a decade or so, that age bracket will no longer be as strongly Republican as it is now, barring any major disruptive events (a large recession for example)