New Jersey's 2010 Census demographics:
68.6% White American
13.7% African American
0.3% Native American
8.3% Asian American
6.4% other races
2.7% Multiracial American
17.7% of the population were Hispanic or Latino (of any race).
Looking at that, explain how Trump gets to 50%.
1. TRUMP doesn't need to get 50% to win. 49%ish would be enough.
(Garry Johnson,Jill Stein)
2. Considering turnouts
Election 2016 in NJ: Demographcis would be
White 67% | Black 15% | Hispanic 12% | Asian 5% | Other 1%
(in 2012, ass CNN Exit Poll, it was White 67% | Black 18% | Latino 10% | Asian 3%)
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/NJ/president/But I don't think Turnouts of Black voters would so high like 2012.(Hillary is popular with Black. but not enough to induce massive turnouts of black like Obama)
White 67% x 60.5% = 40.53%
Black 15% x 12% = 1.8%
Hispanic 12% x 35% = 4.2%
Asian 5% x 45% = 2.25%
Other 1% x 35% = 0.35%
Total 49.13%
it's not an easy goal, but not an impossible goal either.
if TRUMP unifies the GOP fully and gets 90% of them.
Attract the Reagan Democrats well and gets 15% of them.
He gets 55%+ of the Independent.
