Who will win the presidency? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 10:37:34 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Who will win the presidency? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who'll win in November?
#1
Clinton
 
#2
Trump
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 109

Author Topic: Who will win the presidency?  (Read 2029 times)
Mallow
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 737
United States


« on: September 12, 2016, 02:12:58 PM »

Clinton.

The Trumpster's only path is to win PA, and I just see this now. Even if the race is closer than expected, I just don't see a reliable path to the magic 270 electoral votes for him.

Wrong.

Romney 2012 (206) + FL( 29) + OH( 18) + IA( 6) + ME2( 1) = 260
TRUMP could add WI( 10) or NV(6)&NH(4) or MI( 16) or CO(9)&NH(4) or CO(9)&NV(6)

TRUMP still has a path withoug PA Tongue

Reuters/Ipsos Colorado Poll. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus

Perhaps TRUMP could flip New Mexico as latest Polls.
Google Consumer. 215 LV.  8/31-9/6:  TRUMP 30% | Hillary 27% | Johnson 18%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/new-mexico/#plus


MI, WI, CO and NH won't happen. The demographic trends and voting patterns are not in your hero's favor in these states. This is the bad news.

oh really?
Latest Poll, which TRUMP won or tied.

1. Michigan:
Reuters/Ipsos. 494 LV.  8/19-9/1:  TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +1%

2. Wisconsin:
Reuters/Ipsos. 523 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 40% | Hillary 38%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/wisconsin/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +2%

3. Colorado
Reuters/Ipsos. 417 LV.  8/26-9/8:  TRUMP 43% | Hillary 41%
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/colorado/#plus
Mohamed's liberal hero, Nate Silver adjusted this poll as TRUMP +3%

how can you sure, TRUMP gonna lose all MI/WI/CO?
in my opinion he will win at least one of those states Tongue.

The Ipsos polls you quoted are all the most Trump-favorable outliers in those states, and they are also some of the only ones that don't include Johnson. In a scenario where Trump wins one of those states, he's probably also winning PA, making your original assertion moot.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 13 queries.