2020 RHODE ISLAND Congressional Redistricting (user search)
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  2020 RHODE ISLAND Congressional Redistricting (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 RHODE ISLAND Congressional Redistricting  (Read 3234 times)
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« on: September 11, 2021, 02:44:29 AM »

Fair map that only splits one municipality (Cranston) and has a population deviation of 1.

-snip-

Clinton only won RI-02 here by less than 400 votes. Biden however carried it by a comfortable 7.8%. It could definitely be competitive however.

I don't know if I would describe either of these maps as "fair," but I tried my hand at making a set of Republican gerrymanders.

This first one splits only Cranston as well and is fully road contiguous. This map trades your perfect population deviation for a deviation of seven, but shifts the district to R+0.3, with Trump winning by 1% in 2016 and losing by 6% in 2020.



This second map splits no municipalities with the same 1% Trump win in 2016 and 6% Biden win in 2020, and even increases the PVI slightly to R+0.35. However, the population deviation does jump to 777.



It's also possible to make a relatively Republican district without splitting municipalities by trading East Greenwich and North Providence for Narragansett, New Shoreham, and South Kingstown. This lowers the population deviation to 329, but makes the district D+0.4, with Clinton winning by 620 votes in 2016 and Biden winning by over 7% in 2020.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2021, 01:26:56 PM »


I'd consider something a fair map if it was focused on the other ideals of redistricting like compactness or communities of interest. Redistricting around incumbent protection or partisanship, while potentially leading to balanced results, is specifically gerrymandering around some desired outcome. The issue that I see is our electoral and two-party system and partisanship, which intertwine to create a process where the ideological cores of both party's push mismatched candidates into general elections that win because they are buoyed by fear of the opposing side.
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