Election betting thread. (user search)
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  Election betting thread. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Election betting thread.  (Read 5744 times)
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« on: May 01, 2016, 02:45:24 PM »

One more rule: No bet can be higher than $1000.

If this is an actual rule you should add it to the first post.

Also, I bet 200 that Trump wins WV.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: May 01, 2016, 07:44:51 PM »

BTW, who the hell is going to keep track of all this? Tongue

It's in the first post. Also, how long does a bet last? Can someone withdraw a bet? What if no one has responded. I'm sure that in November someone doesn't want someone else going back 20 pages and finding an awful bet that someone else proposed.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #2 on: May 01, 2016, 10:28:02 PM »

New rule: I will remove obvious bets.

Why not, instead, just make it so that unaccepted bets that are neutralized like in a actual bet? If I bet that Clinton will win the election and end up being wrong but there were no takers, then no one should get or lose money. If you're doing it more like a casino where the money goes to the house then you should only lose money if no one takes you up but gain nothing (except get the money back that you put in), if end up being right. As such if I bet that Clinton wins and she loses I lose my money, but if she wins all I get is the money I put into the pot.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #3 on: May 01, 2016, 10:32:27 PM »

I suggest lowering the withdrawal fee to something like $75

The withdrawal fee has to be less then what the person put down, if not then there is no point in withdrawing. On the other side if you make a bet and it costs to little to pull out and you see the odds of something as 100:1, then you would definitely pull out of the bet to save whatever you could.

I say that no one should be allowed to exit a bet and thus should be extra careful when entering what they want.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2016, 08:03:33 AM »

Can 2 or more people take on the same bet?

Any bet offered is given to be extended to the first single person to accept, unless the bettor specifically states their offer can be taken up by (e.g.) 2, 3, 4, whatever.

I never saw anyone say anything definitive, but it looks like your answer is no.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2016, 03:41:43 PM »

$100 on Trump winning 7 out of 9 Indiana CDs.

I'll take this.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2016, 08:00:29 PM »

It's horrifying that Donald Trump is the presumptive nominee of a major political party, but at least I have a lot of imaginary Internet money to console myself with.

*Sigh* The thing is I put Sanders down for the win in Indiana on the predict part of the website. I should have put my fake money where my mouth was and placed a bet. I would have made bank.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2016, 07:49:29 AM »

The betting summary has been updated. Upon closer inspection, it appears that RR1997 had $1105 in bets and offered bets at the same time. For this reason, I think it's only fair if everyone is allowed to wager up to $105 more than they have.

I would rather you count it off as an accident and prevent it in the future rather than allowing it to take place.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #8 on: May 04, 2016, 10:23:42 AM »

The betting summary has been updated. Upon closer inspection, it appears that RR1997 had $1105 in bets and offered bets at the same time. For this reason, I think it's only fair if everyone is allowed to wager up to $105 more than they have.

I would rather you count it off as an accident and prevent it in the future rather than allowing it to take place.

Or it could be so you can bet above your total, but not to a point at which you could lose it all at once. That way you could put down bets for future contests as well.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #9 on: May 10, 2016, 06:23:30 AM »
« Edited: May 10, 2016, 06:26:02 AM by Sorenroy »

I bet 250 that Bernie Sanders will win West Virginia by double digits.

I bet 150 that Trump wins West Virginia with 80-90% of the vote.

I bet 150 that Trump wins Nebraska with 70-80% of the vote.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,703
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #10 on: May 10, 2016, 08:21:20 AM »

I bet $400 that Trump wins WV by 70%+ in the general.

I'll take this. I guess with the trend he could, but I doubt it.
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