Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 46806 times)
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« on: February 20, 2016, 11:06:04 AM »

This will also be a test for Overtime Politics. They say that they can get their numbers in "within 90-120 seconds of state officials announcing them." We'll see if they're able to do this. Someone can watch the AP/CNN threads (or any others that are faster) and see if Overtime is able to beat them or if they're just copying some other groups numbers. If that is so, and there is an error, we can easily tell.

(Posting and identical post over on the South Carolina thread.)
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 11:32:58 AM »


Thanks for posting! I read that the viability threshold is 15%, but it says here that that threshold is decided at the beginning of the day. Do we know if that threshold is 15%? I assume it must be standard across all precincts (or follow the Iowa model where the smaller the precinct, the higher the threshold for very small precincts).
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 01:47:31 PM »

Is there a network streaming coverage for free anywhere? Can someone give me a link?
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 05:59:10 PM »

Politics1.com @Politics1com
P2016: In the 5 black majority precincts in the Nevada, Clinton defeated Sanders there by 95%-5% vote.

Holy sh**t. SC is gonna be a thrashing!

Just a reminder that this likely came from Clinton shut-outs where Sanders didn't get 15% of the vote. Not saying that a 95-5 lead isn't massive, but know where it comes from.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 06:06:14 PM »

As per CBS's Twitter:

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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 06:08:48 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2016, 06:10:31 PM by Sorenroy »

By ever so slightly closing the gap in Clark County and increasing his lead in Washoe, it looks like Sanders may have a chance of getting the gap smaller than 4 points.

Also, Sanders has overtaken Clinton in Carson City 74-71.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,702
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P
« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 06:42:54 PM »

Turnout was 80000 people. In 2008 it was 120000.
Bernie's revolution doesn't seem to be going very well.

Love to know where your numbers are coming from.
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