I thought this was a funny tool. You can play with turnout and vote percentage for both parties for different electorates, and the tool then calculates which party would win the election.
I remain really skeptical of a GOP win in 2016.
I thought it was funny how if you put all five groups at 50%-50%....the Democrats win 285-253
Even if you turn the turnout for white college educated (56% R) and college educated (62% R) to 100% turnout you get a 272-266 win for the democrats (popular vote won by 50.4% R, 47.8% D).