NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread (user search)
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  NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC 2016 Gubernatorial Discussion Thread  (Read 46412 times)
Sorenroy
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P P
« on: September 23, 2016, 11:46:15 AM »

^ For me, whats worse is the overreach - its another example of the R legislature trying to control the D cities.

True that. I find it highly ironic that McCrory somehow thinks that his Republican view of "strong local government" goes no further than the state's rights.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2016, 12:05:13 PM »

As if McCrory needs any more bad press from this, the NCAA is pulling its championship games from NC, citing HB2.

The NC GOP's response is something else:




What's even worse is the response from the state senator whose district hosts the NCAA:

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So basically, she still believes that girls will be preyed upon by older men or boys, but she's willing to overlook that because she's up for reelection.

(there's probably a better thread to put this, but I couldn't find where that would be)
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 18, 2016, 03:29:24 PM »

Wake County just dumped an unusually large number of provisionals (likely because of the voting mashing issues) and Cooper has taken a wide lead with them. Assuming that the non-provisional to provisional ballot ratio is the same as in 2012, McCrory would need to win 68% of the remaining provisionals to win. Unfortunately, that goes both ways, as Cooper would need 70% of remaining provisionals to get out of that 10,000 recount range.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2016, 03:21:27 PM »


If you follow the link and go to "View Contest Details" and then "Results by County" you can see which counties have yet to finalize the results. Those counties are Bladen, Cleveland, Craven, Forsyth, Graham, Lenoir, and Person. In these counties, McCrory Currently leads by 49.29% (164,646) to 48.76% (162,878). Assuming they come in the same as the rest of the counties (Which they won't. Everything points to them being far more Democratic.), there will have to be 62,257 more ballots which makes it a ratio of 62,257:334,051, or 0.18637:1. As I point out in my other thread, in 2012 it was 0.00500:1 (0.18637:1 is more than 37 times that) for provisional ballots. Of course, not all the ballots yet to add will be provisional, but they will not favor McCrory, and even if they do, they will not favor him by nearly enough.

TL;DR: No, but enough that Cooper will not fall below that 10,000 ballot lead.
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Sorenroy
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,704
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -5.91

P P P
« Reply #4 on: December 05, 2016, 07:39:52 AM »

So do these recounts look at all offices or just the one that called for the recount. Basically, is this having any sort of effect on the results of the presidential race (even if that effect is a small handfull of ballots)?

Also, how does one lose a vote in a recount?
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