VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[Young Conservative]

Would Northam be considered a Conservative Democrat?

I think "New Democrat" is a better term. He reminds me of Evan Bayh politically or maybe Bill clitnon.

[Young Conservative]

Stewart's performance in NOVA is stunning. Periello's performance is worse than expecting, yet another blow to progressives.

[Young Conservative]

Anyway I'm not going to use the thread to bash Northam, but never again do I want to hear a DLC cuck complain about Bernie not being a "real Democrat."  Bernie and Perriello didn't vote for George Bush twice.

Northam reminds me Charlie Crist: career politician in the sense that he will be anything to further his career.

Quick question: was the LG race supposed to be so close? I never saw any polls for it.

[Young Conservative]

Why did Jill Vogel win NOVA by double digit margins but Gillespie couldn't do the same?

[Young Conservative]

Anyway I'm not going to use the thread to bash Northam, but never again do I want to hear a DLC cuck complain about Bernie not being a "real Democrat."  Bernie and Perriello didn't vote for George Bush twice.

Northam reminds me Charlie Crist: career politician in the sense that he will be anything to further his career.

Quick question: was the LG race supposed to be so close? I never saw any polls for it.

Well it's not like Northam was a Democratic elected official in 2000/2004-- he was a private citizen. A person voting for a different party before running for office is a whole other ball game than switching parties altogether for pure political gain

No, but but he nearly did switch parties a few years ago in quite the public debacle.

[Young Conservative]

I do not think Gillespie will win (but it will be close), but imagine if he did win. I would love to see Atlas and media reactions to it.

[Young Conservative]

Virginia Republicans and Democrats are trapped because of Virginia's cultural divide. NOVA Moderates VS Rural populists and/or conservatives trap the candidates. Gillespie is being smarter about it. Northam is facing a Hillary Clinton-esque concern: No message. You cannot please everyone and when you try, you lose voter enthusiasm, which is important in off year elections. This is Northam's race to lose, but Gillespie could still win. Another issue is that polls in Virginia tend to overestimate Democratic support (just like polls in Nevada overestimate Republican support). Northam needs a comfortable lead to be safe, which appears to be slightly declining after the shaky debate performance where he lacked a message. President Obama stumping for Northam will help. I wonder if Pence stumping for Gillespie in Coal Country would help drive up turnout?

[Young Conservative]

Flawless, Beautiful Marco Rubio and Susana Martinez will be campaigning for Gillespie!!!

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/marco-rubio-susana-martinez-to-rally-for-ed-gillespie-in-northern-virginia/2017/10/24/1e86c4aa-b8d6-11e7-a908-a3470754bbb9_story.html

If Pence couldn't draw a crowd, neither will this.

If Trump decided to do a couple rallies in SW Virginia would that help Gillespie?

How did it work out for Strange with that Huntsville rally again?

not the same, although its a bad idea for different reasons.

[Young Conservative]

"Revival"? Moderates run the party.

If moderates ran the party, they would let ProLife democrats speak at conventions.

[Young Conservative]

Washington Post endorses Northam, Fairfax & Herring

How shocking.

Said no one.

[Young Conservative]

Those liberal who know about the DFA definitely vote. Now, at least some will probably abstain. In off year elections, every vote counts and turnout counts. Not a good omen for Northam. I still remain pessimistic about the race as a whole. As usual, Atlas goes radically too far both ways. This does not mean Northam will lose, nor is it irrelevant- it will have an effect.

[Young Conservative]

Momentum is not a real thing.

Spikes in donation, and increases in volunteers are.

Momentum is not a thing but publicly perceived momentum is.  If you have perceived momentum, it increases enthusiasm, which increases turnout among your voters and volunteers.